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金融市场与机构课后习题答案.doc

金融市场与机构课后习题答案.doc
金融市场与机构课后习题答案.doc

Chapter 1

Role of Financial Markets and Institutions

Questions

1. Explain the meaning of surplus units and deficit units. Provide an example of each.

ANSWER: Surplus units provide funds to the financial markets while deficit units obtain funds from the financial markets. Surplus units include households with savings, while deficit units include firms or government agencies that borrow funds.

2. Distinguish between primary and secondary markets.

ANSWER: Primary markets are used for the issuance of new securities while secondary markets are used for the trading of existing securities.

3. Distinguish between money and capital markets.

ANSWER: Money markets facilitate the trading of short-term (money market) instruments while capital markets facilitate the trading of long-term (capital market) instruments.

4. Distinguish between perfect and imperfect security markets.

ANSWER: With perfect financial markets, all information about any securities for sale would be freely available to investors, information about surplus and deficit units would be freely available, and all securities could be unbundled into any size desired. In reality, markets are imperfect, so that surplus and deficit units do not have free access to information, and securities can not be unbundled as desired.

5. Explain why the existence of imperfect markets creates a need for financial institutions.

ANSWER: Financial intermediaries are needed to facilitate the exchange of funds between surplus and deficit units. They have the information to provide this service and can even repackage deposits to provide the amount of funds borrowers desire.

6. Explain the meaning of efficient markets. Why might we expect markets to be efficient most of the

time?

ANSWER: If markets are efficient then prices of securities available in these markets properly reflect all information. We should expect markets to be efficient because if they weren't, investors would capitalize on the discrepancy between what prices are and what they should be. This action would force market prices to represent the appropriate prices as perceived by the market.

7. In recent years, several securities firms have been guilty of using inside information when purchasing

securities, thereby achieving returns well above the norm (even when accounting for risk). Does this suggest that the security markets are not efficient? Explain.

ANSWER: Efficiency is often defined with regard to publicly available information. In this case, markets can be efficient, but investors with inside information could possibly outperform the market on a consistent basis. A stronger version of efficiency would hypothesize that even access to inside information will not consistently outperform the market.

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2 Chapter 1/Role of Financial Markets and Institutions

8. What was the purpose of the Securities Act of 1933? What was the purpose of the Securities

Exchange Act of 1934? Do these laws prevent investors from making poor investment decisions?

Explain.

ANSWER: The Securities Act of 1933 was intended to assure complete disclosure of relevant

financial information on publicly offered securities, and prevent fraudulent practices when selling these securities. The Securities Exchange Act of 1934 extended the disclosure requirements to

secondary market issues. It also declared a variety of deceptive practices illegal, but does not prevent poor investments.

9. If barriers to international securities markets are reduced, will a country's interest rate be more or less

susceptible to foreign lending or borrowing activities? Explain.

ANSWER: If international securities market barriers are reduced, a country's interest rate will likely become more susceptible to foreign lending and borrowing activities. Without barriers, funds will flow more freely in between countries. Funds would seek out countries where expected returns are high. Then, the amount of foreign funds invested in any country could adjust abruptly and affect interest rates.

10. In what way could the international flow of funds cause a decline in interest rates?

ANSWER: If a large volume of foreign funds was invested in the United States, it could place

downward pressure on U.S. interest rates. Without this supply of foreign funds, U.S. interest rates would have been higher.

11. Distinguish between the functions of a broker and those of a dealer, and explain how each is

compensated.

ANSWER: Brokers are commonly compensated with commissions on trades, while dealers are compensated on their positions in particular securities. Some dealers also provide brokerage services.

12. Why is it necessary for securities to be somewhat standardized?

ANSWER: Securities can be more easily traded when they are standardized because the specifics of the security transaction are well known. If securities were not standardized, transactions would be slowed considerably as participants would have to negotiate all the provisions.

13. What are the functions of securities firms?

ANSWER: Securities firms provide a variety of functions (such as underwriting and brokerage) that either enhance a borrower's ability to borrow funds or an investor’s abi lity to invest funds.

14. Explain why some financial flows of funds cannot occur through the sale of standardized securities.

ANSWER: Some financial flows, such as most commercial loans, must be provided on a personal basis, since the firms requesting loans have particular needs.

15. If securities were not standardized, how would this affect the volume of financial transactions

conducted by brokers?

ANSWER: If securities were not standardized, the volume of financial transactions conducted by brokers would be reduced, because the documentation would be greater.

16. Commercial banks use some funds to purchase securities and other funds to make loans. Why are the

securities more marketable than loans in the secondary market?

ANSWER: Securities are more standardized than loans and therefore can be more easily sold in the secondary market. The excessive documentation on commercial loans limits a bank's ability to sell loans in the secondary market.

17. How have the asset compositions of savings and loan associations differed from those of commercial

banks? Explain why and how this distinction may change over time.

ANSWER: Savings and loan associations have traditionally concentrated in mortgage lending, while commercial banks have concentrated in commercial lending. Savings and loan associations are now

Chapter 1/Role of Financial Markets and Institutions 3 allowed to diversify their asset portfolio to a greater degree and will likely increase their

concentration in commercial loans (but not to the same degree as commercial banks.

18. With regard to the profit motive, how are credit unions different from other financial institutions?

ANSWER: Credit unions are non-profit financial institutions.

19. Compare the main sources and uses of funds for finance companies, insurance companies, and

pension funds.

ANSWER: Finance companies sell securities to obtain funds, while insurance companies receive insurance premiums and pension funds receive employee/employer contributions. Finance companies use funds to provide direct loans to consumers and businesses. Insurance companies and pension funds purchase securities.

20. What is the function of a mutual fund? Why are mutual funds popular among investors?

ANSWER: A mutual fund sells shares to investors, pools the funds, and invests the funds in a

portfolio of securities. Mutual funds are popular because they can help individuals diversify while using professional expertise to make investment decisions.

21. How does a money market mutual fund differ from a stock or bond mutual fund?

ANSWER: A money market mutual fund invests in money market securities, whereas other mutual funds normally invest in stocks or bonds.

22. Classify the types of financial institutions mentioned in this chapter as either depository or

nondepository. Explain the general difference between depository and nondepository institution sources of funds.

ANSWER: Depository institutions include commercial banks, savings and loan associations, and credit unions. These institutions differ from nondepository institutions in that they accept deposits.

Nondepository institutions include finance companies, insurance companies, pension funds, mutual funds, and money market funds.

23. It is often stated that all types of financial institutions have begun to offer services that were

previously offered only by certain types. Consequently, many financial institutions are becoming more similar in terms of their operations. Yet, the performance levels still differ significantly among types of financial institutions. Why?

ANSWER: Even though financial institutions are becoming more similar, they often differ distinctly from each other in terms of sources and uses of funds. Therefore, their performance levels differ as well.

24. Look in a recent business periodical for news about a recent financial transaction that involves two

financial institutions. For this transaction, determine the following:

a. How will each institution's balance sheet be affected?

b. Will either institution receive immediate income from the transaction?

c. Who is the ultimate user of funds?

d. Who is the ultimate source of funds?

ANSWER: This exercise will force students to understand how the balance sheet and income

statement of a financial institution is affected by various transactions. When a financial institution simply acts as a middleman, income (fees or commissions) are earned, but the institution's asset portfolio is not significantly affected.

25. Which types of financial institutions do you deal with? Explain whether you are acting as a surplus

unit or a deficit unit in your relationship with each financial institution.

ANSWER: This exercise allows students to realize that they constantly interact with financial

institutions, and that they often play the role of a deficit unit (on car loans, tuition loans, etc.).

4 Chapter 1/Role of Financial Markets and Institutions

26. Explain how the privatization of companies in Europe can lead to the development of new securities

markets.

ANSWER: The privatization of companies will force these companies to finance with stocks and debt securities, instead of relying on the federal government for funds. Consequently, secondary markets for stocks and debt securities will be developed over time.

Chapter 2

Determination of Interest Rates

Questions

1.Explain why interest rates changed as they did over the past year.

ANSWER: This exercise should force students to consider how the factors that influence interest rates have changed over the last year, and assess how these changes could have affected interest rates.

2. Explain what is meant by interest elasticity.

ANSWER: Interest elasticity of supply represents a change in the quantity of loanable funds supplied in response to a change in interest rates. Interest elasticity of demand represents a change in the

quantity of loanable funds demanded in response to a change in interest rates.

3. Would you expect federal government demand for loanable funds to be more or less interest elastic

than household demand for loanable funds? Why?

ANSWER: Federal government demand for loanable funds should be less interest elastic than the consumer demand for loanable funds, because the government's planned borrowings will likely occur regardless of the interest rate. Conversely, the quantity of loanable funds by consumers is more

responsive to the interest rate level.

4. If the federal government planned to expand the space program, how might this affect interest rates?

ANSWER: An expanded space program would (a) force the federal government to increase its budget deficit, (b) possibly force any firms involved in facilitating the program to borrow more funds.

Consequently, there is a greater demand for loanable funds. The additional spending could cause higher income and additional saving. Yet, this impact is not likely to be as great. The likely overall impact would therefore be upward pressure on interest rates.

5. Explain why interest rates tend to decrease during recessionary periods.

ANSWER: During a recession, firms and consumers reduce their amount of borrowing. The demand for loanable funds decreases and interest rates decrease as a result.

6. Obtain or develop forecasts of economic growth and inflation. Use this information to forecast

interest rates one year from now.

ANSWER: Open-ended question, intended to illustrate the ease of subjectively creating forecasts, but the difficulty in deciding the appropriate weight to be assigned to each influential factor.

7. Jayhawk Forecasting Services analyzed several factors that could affect interest rates in the future.

Most factors were expected to place downward pressure on interest rates. Jayhawk also felt that although the annual budget deficit was to be cut by 40 percent from the previous year, it would still

Chapter 1/Role of Financial Markets and Institutions 5 be very large. Thus, Jayhawk believed that the deficit's impact would more than offset the other

effects and therefore forecast interest rates to increase by 2 percent. Comment on Jayhawk's logic.

ANSWER: A reduction in the deficit should free up some funds that had been used to support the government borrowings. Thus, there should be additional funds available to satisfy other borrowing needs. Given this situation plus the other information, Jayhawk should have forecasted lower interest rates.

8. Should increasing money supply growth place upward or downward pressure on interest rates? Justify

your answer.

ANSWER: If one believes that higher money supply growth will not cause inflationary expectations, the additional supply of funds places downward pressure on interest rates. However, if one believes that inflation expectations do erupt as a result, demand for loanable funds will also increase, and interest rates could increase (if the increase in demand more than offsets the increase in supply).

9. Consider a scenario where inflation is low and is not expected to rise in the future. In addition,

assume that the Fed substantially increases the money supply. Explain how this would likely affect interest rates.

ANSWER: Interest rates should decrease because the amount of loanable funds will increase without

a corresponding increase in the demand for loanable funds.

10. What is the logic behind the Fisher effect's implied positive relationship between expected inflation

and nominal interest rates?

ANSWER: Investors require a positive real return, which suggests that they will only invest funds if the nominal interest rate is expected to exceed inflation. In this way, the purchasing power of invested funds increases over time. As inflation rises, nominal interest rates should rise as well since investors would require a nominal return that exceeds the inflation rate.

11. What is the difference between the nominal interest rate and real interest rate?

ANSWER: The nominal interest rate is the quoted interest rate, while the real interest rate is defined as the nominal interest rate minus the expected rate of inflation. The real interest rate represents the recent nominal interest rate minus the recent inflation rate.

12. Estimate the real interest rate over the last year.

ANSWER: This exercise forces students to measure last year's nominal interest rate and inflation rate.

13. Review historical interest rates to determine how they react to recessionary periods. Explain this

reaction.

ANSWER: In general, interest rates tend to decline in recessionary periods. This reaction occurs because the demand for loanable funds declines during the recessionary periods, which places

downward pressure of interest rates.

14. Why do forecasts of interest rates differ among experts?

ANSWER: Various factors may influence interest rates, and changes in these factors will affect

interest rate movements. Experts disagree about how various factors will change. They also disagree about the specific influence these factors have on interest rates.

15. During the stock market crash in October 1987, interest rates declined. Use the loanable funds

framework discussed in this chapter to explain why.

ANSWER: The crash led to concerns of a possible recession. The demand for loanable funds declined, causing downward pressure on interest rates. In addition, investors shifted funds out of stocks and into money market securities, causing an increase in the supply of loanable funds.

6 Chapter 1/Role of Financial Markets and Institutions

16. If foreign investors expected that the U.S. dollar's value would weaken over the next few years, how

might this affect (a) the foreign supply of funds to the U.S. markets and (b) U.S. interest rates?

Explain.

ANSWER: The expectation of a weaker U.S. dollar can cause a lower foreign supply of funds to the U.S. markets, as foreign investors reduce their investment in the United States, because a weakened dollar over the investment horizon reduces the return to foreign investors. The reduced foreign supply of funds to U.S. markets places upward pressure on U.S. interest rates.

17. A well-known economist recently suggested that lower interest rates will stimulate the economy. Yet,

this chapter implied that a strong economy can cause high interest rates. Do these concepts conflict?

Explain.

ANSWER: The concepts do not conflict. There are feedback effects between interest rates and

economic growth. Lower interest rates stimulate the economy because they encourage borrowing and therefore spending. Yet, a strong economy can cause an additional desire to borrow, which places upward pressure on interest rates.

18. Assume that if the U.S. dollar strengthens, it can place downward pressure on U.S. inflation. Based

on this information, how might expectations of a strong dollar affect the demand for loanable funds in the United States and U.S. interest rates? Is there any reason to think that expectations of a strong dollar could also affect the supply of loanable funds? Explain.

ANSWER: As a strong U.S. dollar dampens U.S. inflation, it can reduce the demand for loanable funds, and therefore reduce interest rates. The expectations of a strong dollar could also increase the supply of funds because it may encourage saving (there is less concern to purchase goods before prices rise when inflationary expectations are reduced). In addition, foreign investors may invest more funds in the United States if they expect the dollar to strengthen, because that could increase their return on investment.

19. If financial market participants overestimate inflation in a particular period, will real interest rates be

relatively high or low? Explain.

ANSWER: If inflation is overestimated, the real interest rate will be relatively high. Investors had required a relatively high nominal interest rate because they expected inflation to be high (according to the Fisher effect).

20. Why might you expect interest rate movements of various industrialized countries to be more highly

correlated in recent years than in earlier years?

ANSWER: Interest rates among countries are expected to be more highly correlated in recent years because financial markets are more geographically integrated. More international financial flows will occur to capitalize on higher interest rates in foreign countries, which affects the supply and demand conditions in each market. As funds leave a country with low interest rates, this places upward

pressure on that country's interest rates. The international flow of funds caused this type of reaction.

21. In November 1989, the wall separating East and West Germany was removed. Some analysts say that

this event led to an increase in German and U.S. interest rates. Offer a possible explanation as to why this event could have caused an increase in German and U.S. interest rates.

ANSWER: The removal of the wall led to the reunification of East and West Germany, and resulted in economic expansion in Germany. This led to an increased demand for loanable funds from sources in Germany and in the United States, placing upward pressure on interest rates.

22. In August 1990, the Persian Gulf crisis occurred, resulting in some significant reactions in financial

markets. Why would the crisis be expected to place upward pressure on U.S. interest rates? Why might some investors expect the crisis to place downward pressure on U.S. interest rates?

ANSWER: The Persian Gulf crisis placed upward pressure on U.S. interest rates because it (1)

increased inflationary expectations in the United States as oil prices increased abruptly, and (2)

increased the expected U.S. budget deficit as government expenditures were necessary to boost

Chapter 1/Role of Financial Markets and Institutions 7 military support. However, the crisis also caused some analysts to revise their forecasts of economic growth downward. In fact, some analysts predicted that a U.S. recession would occur. The slower economy reflects a reduced corporate demand for funds, which by itself places downward pressure on interest rates. If inflation was not a concern, the Fed may attempt to increase money supply growth to stimulate the economy. However, the inflationary pressure restricted the Fed from stimulating the economy (since any stimulative policy could cause higher inflation).

23. Offer an argument for why the terrorist attack on the United States on September 11, 2001 could

place downward pressure on U.S. interest rates. Offer an argument for why the terrorist attack could place upward pressure on U.S. interest rates.

ANSWER: The terrorist attack could cause a reduction in spending related to travel (airlines, hotels), and would also reduce the expansion by those types of firms. This reflects a decline in the demand for loanable funds, and places downward pressure on interest rates. Conversely, the attack increases the amount of government borrowing needed to support a war, and therefore places upward pressure on interest rates.

Interpreting Financial News

Interpret the following comments made by Wall Street analysts and portfolio managers.

a. “The flight of funds from bank deposits to U.S. stocks will pressure interest rates.”

As the supply of loanable funds declines (due to bank deposit withdrawals), there will be upward pressure on interest rates.

b. “Since Japanese interest rates have recently declined to very low levels, expect a reduction in U.S.

interest rates.”

As Japanese interest rates decline, Japanese savers invest more loanable funds in the United

States, which places downward pressure on U.S. interest rates.

c. “The cost of borrowing by U.S. firms is dictated by the degree to which the federal governmen t

spends more than it taxes.”

As the federal government spends more than it taxes, it borrows the difference; the greater the

amount borrowed, the higher the pressure on U.S. interest rates.

Managing in Financial Markets

As the treasurer of a manufacturing company, your task is to forecast the direction of interest rates. You plan to borrow funds and may use the forecast of interest rates to determine whether you should obtain a loan with a fixed interest rate or a floating interest rate. The following information can be considered when assessing the future direction of interest rates:

?Economic growth has been high over the last two years, but you expect that it will be stagnant over the next year.

?Inflation has been 3 percent over each of the last few years, and you expect that it will be about the same over the next year.

?The federal government has announced major cuts in its spending, which should have a major impact on the budget deficit.

?The Federal Reserve is not expected to affect the existing supply of loanable funds over the next year. ?The overall level of savings by households is not expected to change.

a. Given the preceding information, determine how the demand for and the supply of loanable funds

would be affected (if at all), and determine the future direction of interest rates.

The demand for loanable funds should decline in response to: (1) stagnant economic growth

(because a relatively low level of borrowing will be needed), and (2) a major cut in government

8 Chapter 1/Role of Financial Markets and Institutions

spending. The supply of loanable funds should remain unchanged because the savings level is not expected to change, and the Fed is not expected to affect the existing money supply. Given a large decline in the demand for loanable funds and no significant change in the supply of loanable

funds, U.S. interest rates should decline.

b. You can obtain a one-year loan at a fixed-rate of 8 percent or a floating-rate loan that is currently

at 8 percent but would be revised every month in accordance with general interest rate

movements. Which type of loan is more appropriate based on the information provided?

Since interest rates are expected to decline, you should prefer the floating-rate loan. As interest rates decline, the rate charged on this type of loan would decline.

c. Assume that Canadian interest rates have abruptly risen just as you have completed your forecast

of future U.S. interest rates. Consequently, Canadian interest rates are now 2 percentage points

above U.S. interest rates. How might this specific situation place pressure on U.S. interest rates?

Considering this situation along with the other information provided, would you change your

forecast of the future direction of U.S. interest rates?

This situation could encourage U.S. individuals and firms to withdraw their savings from U.S.

financial institutions and send their funds to Canada to earn a higher interest rate (although they would have to convert their U.S. dollars into Canadian dollars and are therefore exposed to

exchange rate risk). To the extent that savings are withdrawn from U.S. financial institutions,

there would be a reduction in the supply of loanable funds in the U.S. Consequently, this specific situation places upward pressure on the U.S. interest rates.

While this specific situation places upward pressure on U.S. interest rates, the economic growth and the budget deficit are expected to place downward pressure on interest rates.

Therefore, you would still forecast a decline in U.S. interest rates, unless you believe that the

impact of the Canadian situation would overwhelm the impact of the economic growth and the

budget deficit.

Problems

1.Suppose the real interest rate is 6 percent and the expected inflation is 2 percent. What would you

expect the nominal rate of interest to be?

ANSWER:

i = E(INF) + i k

i = 2% + 6% = 8%

2. Suppose that Treasury bills are currently paying 9 percent and the expected inflation is 3 percent.

What is the real interest rate?

ANSWER:

i = E(INF) + i k

i k = i – E(INF)

i k = 9% – 3% = 6%

Chapter 3

Structure of Interest Rates

Chapter 1/Role of Financial Markets and Institutions 9

Questions

1.Identify the relevant characteristics of any security that can affect the security's yield.

ANSWER:

The relevant characteristics are:

1. default risk

2. liquidity

3. tax status

4. maturity

5. special provisions (such as a call feature)

2. What effect does a high credit risk have on securities?

ANSWER: Investors require a higher risk premium on securities with a high default risk.

3. Discuss the relationship between the yield and liquidity of securities.

ANSWER: The greater the liquidity of a security, the lower is the yield, other things being equal.

4. Do investors in high-tax brackets or those in low-tax brackets benefit more from tax-exempt

securities? Why?

ANSWER: High-tax bracket investors benefit more from tax-exempt securities because their tax savings from avoiding taxes is greater.

5. Do municipal bonds or corporate bonds offer a higher before-tax yield at a given point in time? Why?

Which has the higher after-tax yield?

ANSWER: Corporate bonds offer a higher before-tax yield, since they are taxable by the federal government. The municipal bonds may have a higher tax yield for investors subject to a high tax rate.

For low-tax bracket investors, the corporate bonds would likely have a higher after-tax yield.

6. If taxes did not exist, would Treasury bonds offer a higher or lower yield than municipal bonds with

the same maturity? Why?

ANSWER: Treasury bonds would offer a lower yield than municipal bonds because they are

perceived to be risk-free. If taxes did not exist, the required return on Treasury bonds would be lower than on municipal bonds.

7. Explain how a yield curve would shift in response to a sudden expectation of rising interest rates,

according to the pure expectations theory.

ANSWER: The demand for short-term securities would increase, placing upward (downward)

pressure on their prices (yields). The demand for long-term securities would decrease, placing

downward (upward) pressure on their prices (yields). If the yield curve was originally upward sloped, it would now have a steeper slope as a result of the expectation. If it was originally downward sloped, it would now be more horizontal (less steep), or may have even become upward sloping.

8. What is the meaning of the forward rate in the context of the term structure of interest rates?

ANSWER: The forward rate is the expected interest rate at a future point in time.

9. Why might forward rates consistently overestimate future interest rates? How could such a bias be

avoided?

ANSWER: If forward rates are estimated without considering the liquidity premium, it may

overestimate the future interest rates. If a liquidity premium is accounted for when estimating the forward rate, the bias can be eliminated.

10. Assume there is a sudden expectation of lower interest rates in the future. What would be the effect

on the shape of the yield curve? Explain.

ANSWER: The demand for short-term securities would decrease, placing downward (upward)

pressure on their prices (yields). The demand for long-term securities would increase, placing upward

10 Chapter 1/Role of Financial Markets and Institutions

(downward) pressure on their prices (yields). If the yield curve was originally upward sloped, it

would now be more horizontal (less steep). If it was downward sloped, it would now be more steep.

11. Explain the liquidity premium theory.

ANSWER: If investors believe that securities with larger maturities are less liquid, they will require a premium when investing in such securities to compensate. This theory can be combined with the other theories to explain the shape of a yield curve.

12. If liquidity and interest rate expectations are both important for explaining the shape of a yield curve,

what does a flat yield curve indicate about the market's perception of future interest rates?

ANSWER: A flat yield curve without consideration of a liquidity premium would represent no

expected change in interest rates according to the pure expectations theory. Therefore, if the flat yield curve reflects the existence of a liquidity premium, this curve would actually have a slight downward slope when removing the liquidity premium. This suggests expectations of a slight decline in future interest rates.

13. If a downward-sloping yield curve is mainly attributed to segmented markets theory, what does that

suggest about the demand and supply of funds in the short-term and long-term maturity markets?

ANSWER: A downward-sloped yield curve suggests that the demand for short-term funds is high relative to the supply of short-term funds, causing a high yield. In addition, the demand for long-term funds is low relative to the supply of long-term funds, causing a low yield.

14. If the segmented markets theory causes an upward-sloping yield curve, what does this imply?

ANSWER: An upward-sloped yield curve caused by segmented markets implies that the demand for short-term funds is low relative to the supply of short-term funds. In addition, the demand for long-term funds is high relative to the supply of long-term funds.

15. If markets are not completely segmented, should we dismiss the segmented markets theory as even a

partial explanation for the term structure of interest rates? Explain.

ANSWER: No. Even if markets are not completely segmented, investors and borrowers may prefer a particular maturity market. Therefore, they may only switch to a different maturity if there is

sufficient compensation (such as a higher return for investors or a lower cost of borrowing for

borrowers).

16. Explain the preferred habitat theory.

ANSWER: The preferred habitat theory suggests that while investors and borrowers may prefer a natural maturity, they may wander from that maturity under conditions where they can benefit from selecting a different maturity.

17. What factors influence the shape of the yield curve?

ANSWER: The yield curve's shape is affected by the demand and supply conditions for securities in various maturity markets. Expectations of interest rates, the desire for liquidity, and the desire by investors or borrowers for a specific maturity will influence the demand and supply conditions.

18. Describe how financial market participants use the yield curve.

ANSWER: The yield curve can be used to determine the market's expectations of future interest rates.

Market participants can compare their own expectations to the market's expectations in order to

determine their borrowing or investing decisions.

19. Would yields be higher for callable bonds or noncallable bonds that are similar in all other respects?

Why?

ANSWER: Yields are higher for callable bonds than noncallable bonds because the call feature

allows the issuer to retrieve bonds from investors. The issuer must offer a higher yield on callable bonds to compensate investors.

Chapter 1/Role of Financial Markets and Institutions 11 20. Suppose that the Treasury decided to finance its deficit with mostly long-term funds. How could this

decision affect the term structure of interest rates? If short-term and long-term markets are segmented, would the Treasury's decision have a more or less pronounced impact on the term structure? Explain.

ANSWER: If the Treasury borrowed heavily in the long-term markets, it could place upward pressure on long-term rates without having as much of an impact on short-term rates (assuming that markets are somewhat segmented).

21. Assume that the yield curves in the United States, France, and Japan were flat. If the U.S. yield curve

then suddenly become positively sloped, do you think the yield curves in France and Japan would be affected? If so, how?

ANSWER: The yield curves in other countries would also be affected if the event precipitating the shift in the U.S. yield curve affects either actual or expected interest rates in other countries. If long-term interest rates in the United States rise in response to a greater U.S. demand for long-term funds, then the yield curve may have an upward slope. To the extent that this event attracts long-term funds in other countries, there would be a smaller supply of long-term funds in those countries, which could cause higher long-term rates there. Consequently, their yield curves would have an upward slope. Interpreting Financial News

Interpret the following comments made by Wall Street analysts and portfolio managers.

a. "An upward-sloping yield curve persists because many investors stand ready to jump into the

stock market."

Investors are holding short-term treasury securities, and are unwilling to hold long-term

Treasury securities, because they may liquidate these securities soon, and prefer liquid securities that are less susceptible to interest rate risk.

b. "Low-rated bond yields rose as recession fears caused a flight to quality."

As investors selected safer bonds, they sold low-rated bonds, which placed downward pressure

on prices of low-rated bonds and upward pressure on yields of low-rated bonds. Thus, the risk

premium of low-rated bonds increased.

c. "The shift from an upward-sloping yield curve to a downward-sloping yield curve is sending a

warning about a possible recession."

If the shift is due to changes in interest rate expectations, it suggests that interest rates may now be expected to decline. Such expectations can occur when the market expects that economic

growth is slowing or is negative.

Managing in Financial Markets

Monitoring Yield Curve Adjustments

As an analyst at a bond rating agency, you have been asked to interpret the implications of the recent shift in the yield curve. Six months ago, the yield curve exhibited a slight downward slope. Over the last six months, the long-term yields declined, while short-term yields remained the same. Analysts stated that the shift was due to revised expectations of interest rates.

a. Given the shift in the yield curve, does it appear that firms increased or decreased their demand

for long-term funds over the last six months?

The lower long-term yields may be attributed to a reduced demand for long-term funds. That is, firms may have reduced their issuance of long-term securities.

b. Interpret what the shift in the yield curve suggests about the market’s changing expectations of

future interest rates.

The yield curve six months ago implied the expectation of a slight decline in interest rates. The

yield curve today implied the expectation of a larger decline in interest rates.

12 Chapter 1/Role of Financial Markets and Institutions

c. Recently, an analyst argued that the underlying reason for the yield curve shift was that many of the large U.S. firms anticipate a recession. Explain why an anticipated recession could force the yield curve to shift as it has.

When the economic conditions are expected to deteriorate, the demand for loanable funds by firms tends to decrease (because firms reduce their borrowing when they cut back on their expansion plans). Therefore, the long-term yields decline, and the yield curve developed a steeper downward slope. So this shift in the yield curve can indicate to the market that firms are reducing their amount of borrowing, in response to their assessment of future economic conditions.

d. What could the specific shift in the yield curve signal about the ratings of existing corporate bonds? What types of corporations would be most likely to experience a change in their bond ratings as a result of the specific shift in the yield curve?

To the extent that the downward shift in the yield curve signals an anticipated recession (or at least a reduction in economic growth), it could also signal that the creditworthiness of some corporations will decline. Therefore, the bond ratings of some corporations would be downgraded. Corporations that are more sensitive to economic downturns would be more susceptible to a

bond rating downgrade in response to a yield curve shift that signals an anticipated recession. Problems

1. a. Assume that as of today, the annualized two-year interest rate is 13 percent, while the one-year

interest rate is 12 percent. Use only this information to estimate the one-year forward rate.

ANSWER:

%

01.14112

.1)13.1(1)

1()1(2

12

211=-=-++=+i i r t t t

b. Assume that the liquidity premium on a two-year security is 0.3 percent. Use this information to re-estimate the one-year forward rate. ANSWER:

%

74.13)12.1(003.112.113.1r 2

11t =??

????+--=+| 2. Assume that as of today, the annualized interest rate on a three-year security is 10 percent, while the

annualized interest rate on a two-year security is 7 percent. Use only this information to estimate the one-year forward rate two years from now.

ANSWER:

%25.16107

.110.1)i 1()i 1(r 1)

r 1()i 1()i 1(23

2

2t 3

3t 12t 12t 22t 33t =-=++=+++=+++

Chapter 1/Role of Financial Markets and Institutions 13

3. If t 1t 2i i ?, what is the market consensus forecast about the one-year forward rate one year from now?

Is this rate above or below today's one-year interest rate? Explain.

ANSWER:

The one-year forward rate one year from now is:

1)

i 1()i 1(r 1t 2

2t 11t -++=+ If t 1t 2i i ?, then the one-year forward rate one year from now must be below today's one-year interest

rate.

4. You need to choose between investing in a one-year municipal bond with a 7 percent yield and a one-

year corporate bond with an 11 percent yield. If your marginal federal income tax rate is 30 percent and no other differences exist between these two securities, which one would you invest in?

ANSWER:

Y at = Y bt (1 – T)

Y at = 11% (1 – 0.30) = 7.7%—prefer the corporate bond.

5. Assume that interest rates for one-year bonds are expected to be 2 percent today, 4 percent one year

from now and 6 percent two years from now. Using only the pure expectations theory, what are the current interest rates on two-year and three-year bonds as of now?

ANSWER:

(1 + t i 2 )2 = (1 + t i 1) (1 + t+1r 1)

(1 + t i 2 )2 = (1 + 0.02) (1 + 0.04)

(1 + t i 2 )2 = 1.0608

1+ t i 2 = 1.02995

t i 2 = 0.0299

(1 + t i 3)3 = (1 + t i 1) (1 + t+1r 1) (1 + t+2r 1)

(1 + t i 3)3 = (1+0.02) (1+0.04) (1+0.06)

(1 + t i 3)3 = 1.124448

1 + t i 3 = 1.0398

t i 3 = 0.0398

6 a. A corporation is planning to sell its 90-day commercial paper to investors offering an 8.4 percent

yield. If the three-month T-bill’s annualized rate is 7 percent, the default risk premium is

estimated to be 0.6 percent and there is a 0.4 percent tax adjustment, what is the appropriate

liquidity premium?

ANSWER:

Y cp, n = R f,n + DP + LP + TA

LP = Y cp,n – R f,n – DP – TA

LP = 8.4% – 7% – 0.6% – 0.4%

LP = 0.4%

b. If due to unexpected changes in the economy the default risk premium increases to 0.8 percent,

what is the appropriate yield to be offered on the commercial paper (assuming no other changes occur)?

ANSWER:

Y cp,n = R f,n + DP + LP + TA

Y cp,n = 7% + 0.8% + 0.4% + 0.4% = 8.6%

7 a. Use the Forward Interest Rate Template on the CD to determine the forward rate for various one-

year interest rate scenarios if the two-year interest rate is 8 percent, assuming no liquidity

premium. Explain the relationship between the one-year interest rate and the one-year forward rate, holding the two-year interest rate constant.

14 Chapter 1/Role of Financial Markets and Institutions

ANSWER: As the one-year interest rate rises, the forward rate declines. The one-year forward

rate is zero once the one-year interest rate is equal to the two-year interest rate, and it becomes

negative if the one-year interest rate exceeds the two-year interest rate. The forward rate is

reduced when using higher levels of a one-year interest rate, holding a two-year interest rate

constant. The smaller the differential between the two-year and one-year interest rates, the lower is the interest rate in the second year that is needed so that the combination of the two one-year

rates are equal to the two-year rate.

b. Use the Forward Interest Rate Template on the CD to determine the one-year forward rate for the

same one-year interest rate scenarios in question (a), assuming a liquidity premium of .4 percent.

Does the relationship between the one-year interest rate and the forward rate changes when

considering a liquidity premium?

ANSWER: The general relationship between the one-year interest rate and the one-year forward rate still holds.

c. At the beginning of 2001, the yield curve in the United States exhibited a slight upward slope.

When economic conditions weakened substantially in 2001, the one-year interest rate declined

substantially, but the two-year and longer-term interest rates declined only slightly. Use the

Forward Interest Rate Template to simulate such changes in the one-year and two-year interest

rates, and explain how the one-year forward rate was affected by these changes. Based on your

estimated changes in the forward rate, how would the expected interest rate be affected? Would

your general answer about the expected interest rate vary with the liquidity premium that you

might assume throughout this example?

ANSWER: As the short-term interest rates declined to a greater degree, the forward rate would

have become more upward sloping.

d. Use the Forward Interest Rate Template to determine how the one-year forward rate would be

affected if the quoted two-year interest rate rises, holding the quoted one-year interest rate and the liquidity premium constant. Explain the logic of this relationship.

ANSWER: The forward rate increases for higher levels of a two-year interest rate. The greater the differential between the two-year and one-year interest rates, the greater is the interest rate in the second year that is needed so that the combination of the two one-year rates are equal to the two-year rate.

e. Use the Forward Interest Rate Template to determine how the one-year forward rate would be

affected if the liquidity premium rises, holding the quoted one-year and two-year interest rate

constant. Explain the logic of this relationship.

ANSWER: The forward rate is reduced for higher levels of the liquidity premium, holding the

one-year and two-year interest rates constant. The higher the liquidity premium, the greater the

proportion of the interest rate differential (two-year rate minus one-year rate) that is due to

interest rate expectations, and the lower is the one-year forward rate.

8. Use the Tax-adjusted Yield Template to determine how the after-tax yield is affected by higher tax

rates, holding the before-tax yield constant. Explain the logic of this relationship.

ANSWER: The after-tax yield is reduced for higher levels of the tax rate, holding the before-tax yield constant. The higher the tax rate, the greater the proportion of the before-tax yield that is allocated for taxes, and the smaller the proportion of the before-tax yield retained by the investor.

9. a. Use the Debt Security Yield Template to determine how the appropriate yield to be offered on a

security is affected by a higher risk-free rate. Explain the logic of this relationship.

ANSWER: The appropriate yield to be offered on a security would need to be increased if the

risk-free rate rises. A higher yield would be necessary to place the security, as investors still want

a particular premium above the risk-free rate.

Chapter 1/Role of Financial Markets and Institutions 15

b. Use the Debt Security Yield Template to determine how the appropriate yield to be offered on a

security is affected by a higher default risk premium. Explain the logic of this relationship.

ANSWER: The appropriate yield to be offered on a security would need to be increased if the

default premium on the security increased, because the investors would require a higher return to compensate for the higher default risk.

c. Use the Debt Security Yield Template to determine how the appropriate yield to be offered on a

security is affected by a higher call premium. Explain the logic of this relationship.

ANSWER: The appropriate yield to be offered on a security would need to be increased if the call premium on the security increased, because the investors would require a higher return to

compensate for the likelihood that the security will be called before maturity.

d. Use the Debt Security Yield Template to determine how the appropriate yield to be offered on a

security is affected by the existence of a convertibility discount. Explain the logic of this

relationship.

ANSWER: The appropriate yield to be offered on a security would be reduced if the

convertibility discount exists, because the investors would require a lower return if they could

convert the debt security into stock.

Solution to Integrative Problem for Part I

Interest Rate Forecasts and Investment Decisions

1.The appropriate recommendation requires a rational forecast of U.S. interest rates based on the

information provided. A rational forecast can be created by recognizing what factors will or will not influence future interest rates, and weighing the potential influence of any relevant factors. Each of the nine pieces of information provided to the student are addressed below:

1. Movements in interest rates over the year surely affected bond prices, but this information does

not help forecast future interest rates.

2.Changes in economic conditions over the last year affected interest rates (and therefore bond

prices), but this information does not help forecast future interest rates.

3. A slight decline in the U.S. savings rate should place slight upward pressure on U.S. interest rates,

other things being equal.

4.No impact anticipated.

5. A stronger U.S. economy should place upward pressure on U.S. interest rates, regardless of the

economy two years ago. What is important is the change in the future U.S. economy relative to

present conditions, because U.S. bond prices today reflect present U.S. interest rates. Any change in the U.S. demand for loanable funds will change the U.S. interest rates, forcing investors to

revalue U.S. bonds.

6.An increase in the annual U.S. budget deficit (relative to the present period) causes an increase in

U.S. demand for loanable funds, and therefore places upward pressure on U.S. interest rates.

7.An increase in the U.S. inflation rate causes an increase in the demand for loanable funds, and

therefore places upward pressure on U.S. interest rates.

8.The expectation of a weaker dollar by investors around the world could cause foreign investors to

reduce their investing in the United States, causing a net decline in the supply of funds in the

United States provided by foreign investors. Consequently, there is upward pressure on U.S.

interest rates.

16 Chapter 1/Role of Financial Markets and Institutions

9.The market's expectations about future interest rates in the United States are implied by the U.S.

yield curve. Based on the downward slope, and an assumed small liquidity premium, the U.S.

interest rates are expected by the market to decline. However, recall that you are basing your

decision on your own assessment of future interest rates, not the market's assessment. Therefore, you should not use the yield curve as input to your decision.

Overall, Numbers 1, 2, 4, and 9 should have no influence on your forecast of U.S. interest rates.

Number 3 suggests a slight decline in U.S. interest rates, while Numbers 5, 6, 7, and 8 suggest an increase in U.S. interest rates. The net effect is an expected increase in U.S. interest rates.

2.Following the same procedure as stated in Number 1, you can develop a rational forecast of Canadian

interest rates. The assessment of Canadian bonds must be separated from the assessment of U.S.

bonds since Canadian Treasury bond values will not always move in tandem with U.S. Treasury bond values.

Most of the information is either irrelevant for forecasting future interest rates in Canada or suggests no change. The only factors that influence Canadian interest rates and are expected to

change are Canadian inflation and the value of the Canadian dollar. The expected decline in Canadian inflation should place downward pressure on Canadian interest rates. The appreciation of the

Canadian dollar anticipated by investors around the world could cause the supply of funds in Canada to increase (as Canadian investors retain more funds in Canada, and U.S. investors may shift some of their investment to Canada to capitalize on the exchange rate effect). Consequently, there is

downward pressure on Canadian interest rates.

3.The yield on newly issued U.S. corporate bonds should rise to a greater degree than newly issued U.S.

Treasury bonds, because the change in the yield of newly issued corporate bonds should reflect not only the increase in the risk-free rate, but also the increase in the risk premium.

Chapter 4

Functions of the Fed

Questions

1.Briefly describe the origin of the Federal Reserve System.

ANSWER: Two attempts to establish a central bank in the 1800s had failed. In the late 1800s and early 1900s, several bank panics occurred, which encouraged another attempt. In 1913, the Federal Reserve Act was passed and specified 12 districts across the United States, as well as a city in each district where a Federal Reserve district bank was to be established.

2. Describe the functions of the Fed district banks.

ANSWER: The Fed district banks facilitate operations within the banking system by clearing checks, replacing old currency, and providing loans to depository institutions in need of funds.

3. What are the main goals of the Federal Open Market Committee? How does it attempt to achieve

these goals?

ANSWER: The main goals of the FOMC are to promote high employment, economic growth, and price stability.

Chapter 1/Role of Financial Markets and Institutions 17 4. Explain how the Fed increases the money supply through open market operations.

ANSWER: The Fed can increase money supply by purchasing securities in the secondary market. 5. What is the policy directive, and who carries it out?

ANSWER: A policy directive is established by the Fed and submitted to the Trading Desk. The

manager of the Trading Desk must ensure that the directive is achieved.

6. How is the money supply adjusted through the discount window?

ANSWER: Money supply is increased as banks borrow from the Federal Reserve because the level of bank reserves increases. The Fed can increase money supply by encouraging banks to borrow through the discount window and can reduce money supply by discouraging banks from borrowing through the discount window.

7. How is money supply growth affected by an increase in the reserve requirement ratio?

ANSWER: An increase in the reserve requirement ratio reduces the proportion of deposited funds that a financial institution can lend out. Consequently, it reduces the rate by which money can

multiply.

8. What are the disadvantages of using the discount window or reserve requirement ratio to adjust the

money supply?

ANSWER: A change in the discount rate will only be effective in adjusting money supply if

depository institutions respond to the change by borrowing less or more from the Fed.

9. Describe the characteristics that would be desirable for a measure of money to be manipulated by the

Fed.

ANSWER: A desirable measure of money is one that can be precisely controlled by the Fed and has a predictable impact on economic variables.

10. Explain why it is difficult to simultaneously control the money supply and the federal funds rate.

ANSWER: It may be impossible to maintain money supply and the federal funds rate within specific boundaries simultaneously. In order to maintain the federal funds rate within boundaries, the Fed may need to manipulate the money supply, which could force it outside of its boundaries.

11. What are the two key objectives of the Monetary Control Act?

ANSWER: The Monetary Control Act was intended to (1) deregulate the depository institutions industry, and (2) enhance the Fed’s ability to control the money supply.

12. Have the reserve require ment provisions of the Monetary Control Act improved the Fed’s ability to

manipulate the money supply? Explain.

ANSWER: The Monetary Control Act has allowed two monetary policy tools (the discount rate and reserve requirement ratio) to be applicable to all depository institutions rather than just to the member banks of the Federal Reserve system. However, since the Fed rarely uses these tools to control money supply growth, it is questionable whether monetary control was enhanced.

Another provision of the Act is that all depository institutions report their deposit levels promptly to the Fed, which may increase the Fed’s knowledge about existing deposit levels in the banking system. This may help the Fed make appropriate decisions about future monetary growth targets. 13. How does the Monetary Control Act help the Fed avoid improper adjustments in the money supply?

ANSWER: Because the Monetary Control Act requires the depository institutions report their deposit levels promptly to the Fed, this may help the Fed avoid improper adjustments in the money supply.

18 Chapter 1/Role of Financial Markets and Institutions

Interpreting Financial News

Interpret the following comments made by Wall Street analysts and portfolio managers.

a. “The Fed’s future monetary policy will be dependent on the economic indicators to b e reported

this week.”

The Fed makes policy decisions based on expectations about economic conditions, and its

expectations are influenced by the economic indicators.

b. “The Fed’s role is to take the punch bowl away just as the party is coming alive.”

The Fed attempts to prevent the economy from becoming too strong by slowing the economy

down during periods of excessive growth; in this way, it reduces the upward pressure on prices (inflation).

c. “Inflation will likely increase because real short-ter m interest rates currently are negative.”

Negative real short-term interest rates imply that the inflation rate exceeds the existing nominal interest rate. Under these conditions, savers may not perceive saving to be worthwhile because

interest rates are too low, and borrowers may borrow even more because of relatively low

interest rates. Therefore, inflation could increase in response to the high degree of spending. Managing in Financial Markets

As a manager of a large U.S. firm, one of your assignments is to monitor U.S. economic conditions so that you can forecast the demand for products sold by your firm. You recognize that the Federal Reserve attempts to implement monetary policy to affect economic growth and inflation. In addition, you recognize that the administration of the federal government implements spending and tax policies (fiscal policy) to affect economic growth and inflation. Yet, it is difficult to achieve high economic growth without igniting inflation. It is often said that the Federal Reserve is independent of the administration in Washington, D.C. yet, there is much interaction between monetary and fiscal policies.

Assume that the economy is currently stagnant, and some economists are concerned about the possibility of a recession. Some industries, however, are experiencing high growth, and inflation is higher this year than in the previous five years. Assume that the Federal Reserve chairman’s term will expire in four months and that the president of the United States will have to appoint a new chairman (or reappoint the existing chairman). It is widely known that the existing chairman would like to be reappointed. Also assume that next year is an election year for the administration.

a. Given the circumstances, do you expect that the administration will be more concerned about

increasing economic growth or reducing inflation?

While answers may vary among students, the administration is normally most concerned with

resolving the unemployment problem by increasing economic growth. This would be especially

true just before an election year.

b. Given the circumstances, do you expect that the Fed will be more concerned about increasing

economic growth or reducing inflation?

The Fed tends to focus on maintaining a low level of inflation, because of the possibility that

sustained high inflation can cause high interest rates, which may result in a sluggish economy in the long run. It is not unusual for the Fed to focus on fighting inflation while the administration is more concerned about economic growth. However, given that the chairman of the Fed wants to be reappointed, he may be more willing to endorse a monetary policy that is desired by the

administration (assuming that he is politically motivated).

c. Your firm is relying on you for some insight on how the government will influence economic

conditions and therefore the demand for your firm’s products. Given the circumstances, what is your forecast of how the government will affect economic conditions?

Chapter 1/Role of Financial Markets and Institutions 19 There is no definite answer, but some possible expectations are as follows. First, both policies

may focus on economic growth for political or other reasons. In this case, there is a high

probability that the policies will be somewhat successful. Alternatively, the Fed may focus more on solving inflation while the administration focuses on economic growth. In this case, it is

difficult to know whether either policy will be successful. Thus, there may not be much of an effect on the economic conditions. The key to this question is to create class discussion, and make sure students realize how difficult it is to forecast the impact of the government. Students should also recognize how politics can play a role in the effect on the economy.

Chapter 5

Monetary Theory and Policy

Questions

1.How does the Fed’s monetary policy affect economic conditions?

ANSWER: The Fed’s monetary policy can affect the supply of loanable funds available in financial markets and therefore may affect interest rates. It may also affect inflation (with a lag) and therefore affect the demand for loanable funds by influencing inflationary expectations.

2.Describe the economic tradeoff faced by the Fed in achieving its economic goals.

ANSWER: In general, a stimulative monetary policy can increase economic growth and reduce

unemployment, but may increase inflation. A restrictive monetary policy can keep inflationary

pressure low but may cause low economic growth and higher unemployment.

3. What is a criticism of a loose-money policy?

ANSWER: A loose-money policy may result in higher inflation

4. When does the Fed use a loose-money policy and when does it use a tight-money policy?

ANSWER: A loose monetary policy may be used to stimulate the economy, especially if inflation is not a concern. A tight monetary policy may be used to slow economic growth in order to reduce inflationary fears.

5. Briefly summarize the pure Keynesian philosophy and identify the key variable considered.

ANSWER: The pure Keynesian philosophy suggests that the money supply should be adjusted by the Fed to influence interest rates and aggregate spending for goods and services. A loose-money policy can lower interest rates and increase aggregate spending, while a tight-money policy can increase interest rates and reduce aggregate spending.

6. Briefly summarize the Monetarist approach.

ANSWER: The Monetarist philosophy advocates a stable, low growth in the money supply.

Monetarists may contend that sporadic changes in money supply growth are likely to result in volatile business cycles.

7. Why may the Fed have difficulty in controlling the economy in a manner desired? Be specific.

ANSWER: The Fed has difficulty in controlling the economy because it cannot always maintain money growth within its target boundaries. In addition, the impact of monetary growth on the

20 Chapter 1/Role of Financial Markets and Institutions

economy may be different than what was anticipated.

8. What is the recognition lag? Explain why it occurs.

ANSWER: The recognition lag represents the time from when a problem exists until it is recognized by the Fed. It occurs because the economic statistics that are monitored to detect problems are only reported periodically.

9. When does the implementation lag occur?

ANSWER: The implementation lag occurs when the Fed recognizes a problem but does not

implement a policy to solve the problem until later.

10. Assume that the Fed’s primary goal is to cure inflation. How can it use open market operations to

achieve its goal? What is a possible adverse effect of this action by the Fed (even if it achieves its goal)?

ANSWER: To cure inflation, the Fed may use a restrictive monetary policy, which will reduce

economic growth and inflationary pressure. A possible adverse effect is an increase in the

unemployment rate.

11. When it was announced on June 2, 1987, that Paul Volcker would resign as chairman of the Federal

Reserve, the dollar weakened substantially. Why do you think this may have occurred?

ANSWER: Volker was known for his ability to maintain low inflation. When Volcker resigned, inflationary fears increased. Expectations of higher inflation can cause expectations of a weaker dollar. Thus, there was a shift by corporations and financial institutions out of dollar positions and into foreign currencies, which placed immediate downward pressure on the dollar.

12. Why do financial market participants closely monitor money supply movements?

ANSWER: Money supply movements can affect interest rates and other economic variables that influence security prices. Therefore, financial market participants can monitor money policy to

develop forecasts of future security prices.

13. Why do financial market participants who monitor monetary policy have only limited success in

forecasting economic variables?

ANSWER: Financial market participants may incorrectly forecast money supply movements, causing them to incorrectly forecast economic variables. Yet, even if they forecast money supply movements correctly, they may incorrectly anticipate the impact of money supply movements on economic

variables.

14. If a change in the discount rate is not likely to directly affect market interest rates, why do financial

markets sometimes react to such a change?

ANSWER: A change in the discount rate may signal the Fed’s plan to adjust money supply targets and attempt to raise or lower interest rates, which would affect prices of securities such as bonds and mortgages.

15. Why would the Fed try to avoid frequent changes in the money supply?

ANSWER: Frequent changes in the money supply may suggest that the Fed is unsure as to what the appropriate monetary policy should be. T his could reduce the market’s confidence in the Fed.

16. Explain why an increase in the money supply can affect interest rates in different ways. Include the

potential impact of the money supply on the supply of and the demand for loanable funds when

answering this question.

ANSWER: An increase in money supply increases the supply for loanable funds and therefore can place downward pressure on interest rates. Yet, it can also cause inflationary expectations, resulting in an increased demand for loanable funds and upward pressure on interest rates.

金融市场学试题及答案

全国2013年1月高等教育自学考试 金融市场学试题 课程代码:00077 请考生按规定用笔将所有试题的答案涂、写在答题纸上。 选择题部分 注意事项: 1.答题前,考生务必将自己的考试课程名称、姓名、准考证号用黑色字迹的签字笔或钢笔填写在答题纸规定的位置上。 2.每小题选出答案后,用2B铅笔把答题纸上对应题目的答案标号涂黑。如需改动,用橡皮擦干净后,再选涂其他答案标号。不能答在试题卷上。 一、单项选择题(本大题共20小题,每小题1分,共20分) 在每小题列出的四个备选项中只有一个是符合题目要求的,请将其选出并将“答题纸”的相应代码涂黑。错涂、多涂或未涂均无分。 1.现代意义上的证券交易所最早成立于 A.意大利佛罗伦萨 B.荷兰阿姆斯特丹 C.英国伦敦 D.美国费城 2.中央银行发行和回购的市场是 A.政府债券市场 B.货币市场 C.央行票据市场 D.同业拆借市场 3.同业拆借期限最长不超过 ... A.3个月 B.6个月 C.9个月 D.1年 4.我国同业拆借市场使用的利率是 A.SHIBOR B.LIBOR C.HIBOR D.NIBOR 5.下列有价证券中,具有“二次融资”特点的是 A.普通可转换公司债券 B.可分离交易转换债券 C.普通股 D.优先股 6.每股净资产反映的是股票的 A.票面价值 B.账面价值 C.清算价值 D.内在价值 7.A公司每股净资产值为5元,预计溢价倍数为2,则每股发行价格为 D.10元 8.下列关于股票发行价格的影响因素中,说法正确的是 A.税后净利润越高,发行价格越高 B.股票发行数量越大,发行价格可能越高 C.传统产业且竞争能力较差的企业,其发行的股票价格越高 D.宏观经济前景悲观时,发行价格越高

湘潭大学金融市场学课后习题答案

第三章 计算题 1.2007年5月10日中国建设银行07央行票据25的报价为98.01元。07央行票据25是央行发行的一年期贴现票据。债券起息日为2007年3月21日,到期日为2008年3月21日,到期日为2008年3月21日。计算2007年5月10日 贴现收益率、等价年收益率和债券等价收益率。 解答: 贴现收益率 ()%27.2316 36010001.98-100 =??????? 有效年收益率 ()%35.21-10001.98-1001316365 =?? ????+ 等价收益率 ()%35.2316 36510001.98-100 =??????? 第四章 1.假设投资经理李先生约定6年后向投资者支付100万元,同时,他有把握每年实现12%的到期收益率,那么李先生现在要向投资者要求的初始投资额是多少? 解答: ()() 506600%121100000016=+=+=t y FV P 2.某一债券面值为1000元,票面利率为6%,期限为3年,约定每年付息一次,三年后归还本金。如果投资者的预期年收益率为9%,则该债券的内在价值是多少? 解答: ()()()06.92409.01100009.016009.016009.0160332=+++++++=PV 3.一种30年期的债券,息票率为8%,半年付息一次,5年后可按1100美元提前赎回。此债券现在按到期收益率7%售出。 (1)赎回收益率为多少?

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金融市场学试题及答案

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