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物流管理第三方物流毕业论文中英文资料外文翻译文献

物流管理第三方物流毕业论文中英文资料外文翻译文献
物流管理第三方物流毕业论文中英文资料外文翻译文献

中英文资料外文翻译文献

我国第三方物流中存在的问题、原因及战略选择

熊卫

【摘要】我国物流业发展刚刚起步,第三方物流的理论和实践等方面都比较薄弱。本文指出我国第三方物流存在的问题在于国内外第三方物流企业差距、物流效率不高、缺乏系统性管理、物流平台构筑滞后、物流管理观念落后等。分析了产生上述问题的原因,并提出了精益物流、中小型第三方物流企业价值链联盟、大型第三方物流企业虚拟化战略等三种可供选择的第三方物流企业发展战略。

【关键词】第三方物流;精益物流战略;价值链联盟;虚拟化战略

1引言

长期以来,我国国内企业对采购、运输、仓储、代理、包装、加工、配送等环节控制能力不强,在“采购黑洞”、“物流陷井”中造成的损失浪费难以计算。因此,对第三方物流的研究,对于促进我国经济整体效益的提高有着非常重要的理论和实践意义。本文试图对我国策三方物流存在的问题及原因进行分析探讨,并提出第三方物流几种可行的战略选择。

2我国第三方物流业存在的主要问题

(一)我国策三方物流企业与国外第三方物流企业的差距较大,具体表现在以下几个方面:

1、规模经济及资本差距明显。由于国外的大型第三方物流企业从全球经营的战略出发,其规模和资本优势是毫无疑问的,尤其初创时期的我国策三方物流业,本身的规模就很小,国外巨头雄厚的资本令国内企业相形见绌。

2、我国策三方物流业企业提供的物流服务水准及质量控制远不如国外同行。当国内一些企业还在把物流理解成“卡车加仓库“的时候,国外的物流企业早已完成了一系列标准化的改造。同时,国外的物流组织能力非常强大,例如德国一家第三方物流公司,公司各方面的物流专家遍布欧洲各地。如果有客户的货物需要经达不同的国家,那么欧洲各地的这些专家就在网上设计出一个最佳的物流解决方案。这种提供解决方案的能力

就是这第三方物流公司的核心能力,而不像国内公司号称拥有多少条船,多少辆车。

3、我国加入WTO后物流产业的门槛降低。在物流服务业方面:我国承诺所有的服务行业,在经过合理过渡期后,取消大部分外国股权限制,不限制外国服务供应商进入目前的市场,不限制所有服务行业的现有市场准入和活动。同时在辅助分销的服务方面也作出了类似的承诺。这些方面的限制将在以后3—4年内逐步取消,在此期间,国外的服务供应商可以建立百分之百的全资拥有的分支机构或经营机构,国内物流服务业将直面国际竞争。

(二)资源浪费严重,第三方物流效率不高。从微观上看,由于受计划经济体制的影响,长期以来许多企业,尤其是国有企业走的是“大而全”、“小而全”的路子,它们拥有自己的仓库、车队、甚至远洋船队,造成物流过程的大量浪费,具体表现为仓库的闲置,物流业经营分散,组织化程度低,横向联合薄弱。而能够提供一体化、现代化、专业化、准时化、高效服务的第三方物流企业则很少。从宏观上看第三方物流未能跟上经济发展的步伐形成产业化经营的模式,而仅仅是同交通运输、邮电通讯、商业物资、对外贸易等行业的综合与协作。

(三)缺乏系统性管理,装备标准化程度低。目前我国大部分第三方物流企业是传统体制下物资流通企业基础上发展起来的,服务内容主要停留在仓储、运输上,缺乏系统性管理,物流的效率低,第三方物流的功能得不到有效发挥。另外,我国物流部门条块分割,使得物流环节中运输方式与装备标准不统一,流物设施标准不配套,导致第三方物流无效作业的增加,速度降低和成本上升。

(四)第三方物流平台构筑滞后,信息化程度低。第三方物流配送平台包括实体网络和信息网络,实体网络指物流设施、交通工具、交通枢纽等在地理位置上的合理布局而形成的有形网络;信息网络指第三方物流企业与客户利用信息技术,把各自的信息资源链整合而形成共享的信息资源网络。我国实体网络的现状是:第三方物流装备水平较低,而且信息网络也缺乏必要的公共物流交流平台。

(五)国内企业的物流管理观念仍然十分落后,极大制约着第三方物流的发展。例如:有些企业认为库存等信息是商业机密,必须由企业自身来管理,而对将该类企业活动外包出去的管理理念难以接受,往往造成企业自身物流控制管理水平低下,削弱了企业的市场竞争力。

3产生问题的原因分析

(一)缺乏现代化物流知识和专业物流管理人才。这一点是目前制约中国第三方物流业发展的最主要的瓶颈之一。物流知识,尤其是现代综合的第三方物流知识远未得到普及,只是知道它的主要的业务领域是提供运输和仓储服务,而不知道它是对这些传统业务的新的整合,其业务领域也远过单纯的运输和仓储而成为连接原料、半成品供应、生产过程中物料流动、成品配送的全过程的服务,成为涵盖商流、实物流、资金流、信息流等于系统的综合体系。

(二)未能有效利用现代科技手段。这种现状极大地制约了第三方物流企业的培育,影响了企业综合竞争实力的提高。中国加入世贸组织,国内第三方物流企业将面临来自国外的强有力的竞争,国内第三方物流业很难提供低成本、高质量、高效率的服务。

(三)受到传统管理体制的制约。在传统的条块分割的体制安排下,第三方物流的许多活动被割裂至各个不同部门,如交通运输、邮电通讯、对外贸易、国内贸易等,仅运输业就牵涉到铁道部、交通部等若干部门,部门之间缺乏高效协作,致使运输过程中各运输方式的转动环节耗费大量时间和成本,成为物流过程中的“陷阱”。此外还有海关管理程序、物资采购等方面的一些规定也影响了物流企业综合服务水平的提高和业务领域的拓展,进而制约了第三方物流产业的快速发展。

4第三方物流企业的战略选择

归纳国外几种最新的物流理论,并结合当前国外第三方物流发展实践,第三方物流企业的战略选择可以有以下三种:

(一)精益物流战略

由于物流理论和实践的滞后,我国大部分第三方物流企业还是粗放式经营,还不能准确定位自己的物流服务。如果不尽快扭转这一局面,将对我国第三方物流业的发展产生制约作用。精益物流理论的产生,为我国的第三方物流企业提供了一种新的发展思路,为这些企业在新经济中生存和发展提供了机遇。精益物流起源于精益制造的概念。它产生于日本丰田汽车公司在上世纪70年代所独创的“丰田生产系统”,后经美国麻省理工学院教授研究和总结,正式发表在1990年出版的《改变世界的机器)一书中。精益思想是指运用多种现代管理方法和手段,以社会需求为依据,以充分发挥人的作用为根本,有效配置和合理使用企业资源,最大限度地为企业谋求经济效益的一种新型的经营管理理念。精益物流则是精益思想在物流管理中的应用,是物流发展中的必然反映。所谓精益物流是指:通过消除生产和供应过程中的非增值的浪费,以减少备货时间,提高客户

满意度。精益物流的目标在于根据顾客需求,提供顾客满意的物流服务,同时追求把提供物流服务过程中的浪费和延迟降至最低程度,不断提高物流服务过程的增值效益。精益物流系统的特点在于它是高质量、低成本、不断完善、由顾客需求拉动型的物流系统。它要求树立顾客第一的思想、准时、准确、快速地传递物流和信息流。

总之,精益物流作为一种全新的管理思想,势必会对我国的第三方物流企业产生深远的影响,它的出现将改变第三方物流企业的粗放式的管理观念,形成第三方物流企业的核心竞争力。

(二)建立中小型第三方物流企业的价值链联盟

中小型的第三方物流企业由于本身不能独立提供全程一站式物流服务的缺点,同时由于资产规模小、服务地域不宽使中小型第三方物流企业在我国物流业中处于劣势。因此对于中小型第三方物流企业来说,从企业自身资源出发,构造各自的核心竞争力才是关键。由于中小型第三方物流企业功能的单一与不完备,因此建立在各自的核心竞争力基础上构造的物流业务的合作是一种有效弥补企业能力缺陷,构成物流竞争优势的可行方法。价值链是采用系统方法来考察企业所有活动及其相互作用以及分析获得企业竞争优势的各种资源。企业的价值活动分为两大类:基本活动和辅助活动。基本活动是涉及产品的物质创造及销售、转移给买方和售后服务的各种活动。辅助活动是辅助基本活动并通过提供外购收入、技术、人力资源以及各种职能以相互支持。运用价值链理论来分析考察第三方物流企业的价值链构成,可以发现,在辅助活动方面,第三方物流企业与一般企业并没有什么不同,而在基本活动方面第三方物流企业有其特点。第三方物流企业一般不存在商品生产过程,只有流通环节的再加工过程,不占主要环节,广泛的第三方物流企业的基本作业活动因而变成存储、运输、包装、配送、客户服务及市场等环节。基本作业活动的各环节,由于企业自身资源和能力的有限,不可能在每一个环节中都占有优势,这种在某些价值链环节方面的不足,造成了企业整体物流机能的不完备,缺乏相应的竞争力,使某些具有相对优势的价值链环节也因整体的不足而发挥不出应有的功效。所以物流产业内的中小型第三方物流企业联盟,应该是建立在彼此之间价值链基础上的互补性合作,充分利用专业性物流公司的专业化物流机能和物流代理企业的组织协调的柔性化综合物流能力的互补性。对于中小型第三方物流企业来说,应该从企业价值链的优势环节入手,发掘并形成企业的核心竞争力,通过价值链的重构来扬长避短。

(三)大型第三方物流企业的虚拟化战略

在IT和互联网飞速发展的时代,企业不能单打独拼,而必须在竞争中求协作,在协作中求发展。因此,产生于现代条件下的现代大型第三方物流的虚拟化发展有很强的必要性。大型第三方物流企业的虚拟化是指物流经营人将他人的资源为己“所有”,通过网络,把他人变成自己物流的一部分,借助他人的力量突破有形界限,延伸、实现自身的各种功能,进而扩展自己的能力,增强自己的实力。所以,物流的虚拟化是以信息技术为连接和协调手段的临时性、动态联盟形式的虚拟物流。现代综合物流的虚拟化,以电子通讯技术为手段,以客户为中心,以机会为基础,以参与成员的核心能力为条件,以协议目标和任务为共同追求,把不同地区、国家的现有资源迅速组合成一种没有围墙,超越空间约束,靠电子网络手段联系,统一指挥的虚拟经营实体,以最快的速度推出高质量、低成本的物流服务。

现代大型第三方物流的虚拟化包括功能、组织、地域三个方面的虚拟化。功能虚拟化是第三方物流企业借助IT技术将分布在不同地点、不同企业内承担不同职能的物流资源(信息、人力、物质等资源)组织起来去完成特定的任务,实现社会资源的优化。组织虚拟化是指物流组织的结构始终是动态调整的,不是固定不变的,而且具有分散化、柔性化、自主管理、扁平的网络结构,自己可根据目标和环境的变化进行再组合,及时反映市场动态。地域虚拟是指第三方物流企业通过互联网络将全球物流资源连接起来,消除障碍和国家壁垒,使生产管理实现“天涯若比邻”。

外文文献原文部分

China's third-party logistics problems, causes and strategic choice

Xiong Wei

Abstract: China's logistics industry has just started, third-party logistics and other aspects of the theory and practice are relatively weak. The paper points out the problems of the Third Party Logistics is the gap between domestic and international third party logistics, logistics efficiency is not high, the lack of systematic management, and logistics platform to build lag behind the concept of logistics management, and so on. Analyzed the causes of such problems arising and proposed lean logistics, small and medium enterprise value chain alliances third party logistics, large third-party logistics companies such as virtualization strategy choice of three third-party logistics enterprise development strategies.

Keywords:Third party logistics;lean logistics strategy;value chain alliances; virtualization strategy

1. Introduction

For a long time, China's domestic enterprises procurement, transportation, warehousing, agents, packaging, processing, distribution and other aspects of control is not strong, in the "Procurement black hole", "Logistics trap" in the waste is difficult to calculate losses. Therefore, third-party logistics research, the overall effectiveness in promoting the improvement of China's economy has a very important theoretical and practical significance. This article attempts to my policy of three logistics problems and analysis of the causes of and propose several possible third-party logistics strategic choice.

2 Third party logistics industry in China's major problems

(A) The national policy of three logistics companies and foreign big gap between

third-party logistics companies, specifically in the following areas:

1, economies of scale and capital gap significantly. Because third-party logistics companies large foreign strategic departure from the global business, its advantages of scale and capital is no doubt, especially start-up period of three logistics policy I, its very small size, strong capital that foreign giants China enterprises to shame.

2, I state policy of the logistics enterprises provide three logistics service level and quality control rather than foreign counterparts. When some domestic enterprise is still in logistics interpreted as "trucks, add warehouse logistics enterprises abroad already completed a series of standardized transformation. Meanwhile, foreign logistics organizational ability so powerful, Germany, for example, a third-party logistics company, all aspects of logistics experts across all over Europe. If the goods by a customer needs of different countries, so these experts from all over Europe in online design a the best logistics solutions. This provides solutions is the ability that the core competence of third-party logistics companies, unlike domestic companies claim to having many ship, how many car.

3, China's accession to WTO, lower the threshold of the logistics industry. The logistics service industry: our commitment to all of the services sector, after a reasonable transition period, to cancel most of the foreign equity limit does not restrict access to foreign service providers the current market, do not restrict all the service sectors and the existing market access activities. The secondary distribution services while also making a similar commitment. These restrictions will be phased out after 3-4 years, during which foreign service providers can create a hundred per cent wholly-owned subsidiaries or business sector, the domestic logistics industry will face international competition.

(B) serious waste of resources, third party logistics efficiency is not high. From the microscopic point of view, due to the impact of the planned economy, a long time many enterprises, especially state-owned enterprises to go the "large", "small" route, they have their own warehouse, fleet, and even ocean-going vessels team, resulting in wasting a lot of the logistics process, the specific performance of the idle warehouse, logistics decentralized operation, the low level of organization, transverse joint weak. And to provide integrated, modern, professional, punctual, efficient services to third-party logistics enterprises are very

small. From a macro point of view of economic development of third-party logistics failed to keep up with the pace of the formation of industrial management model, but only with the transportation, telecommunications, commercial materials, foreign trade and other sectors of the integration and collaboration.

(C) the lack of systematic management, equipment standardization is low. Most of the current third-party logistics enterprises in China under the traditional system based on materials circulation enterprises developed, the service mainly stay in the storage, transportation, lack of systematic management, logistics, low efficiency, lack of effective third party logistics functions Play. In addition, the fragmentation of China's logistics sector, making the link in the transportation logistics and equipment standards are not uniform, does not support current standards for physical facilities, resulting in the increase in third-party logistics invalid operation, speed, and reduce costs.

(D) third-party logistics platform to build lag, lower degree of information technology. Third-party logistics and distribution platforms, including physical network and information network, physical network refers to the logistics facilities, transportation, transportation hubs in the geographical location of the rational distribution and the formation of physical network; information networks that use third-party logistics business and information technology, Information resources to their chain integration and the formation of a shared network of information resources. The status of physical network are: low levels of third-party logistics and equipment, and information networks also lack the necessary public logistics platform. (E) the concept of logistics management of domestic enterprises is still very backward, which greatly restricts the development of third party logistics. For example: Some companies believe that inventory information is confidential business information must be managed by the enterprises themselves, the class of business activities while outsourcing the management concept difficult to accept, often resulting in control of their own poor management of logistics, business competition in the market weakens Force.

3 Causes of problems analysis

(A) lack of modern logistics management knowledge and expertise of logistics personnel. This is the third-party logistics industry in restricting the development of China's most

important one of the bottlenecks. Logistics knowledge, especially in modern integrated third party logistics knowledge is far from being universal, but that its main business areas is to provide transportation and warehousing services, not know that it is new to these traditional business integration of its business fields Far too simple to become connected with transport and storage of raw materials, semi-finished products supply, production process, material flow, the whole process of product distribution services, as cover flow, solid logistics, capital flow, information flow is equal to the integrated system of systems.

(B) fails to effectively use modern technology. This situation has greatly restricted the cultivation of third-party logistics companies, affecting their overall competitive strength increased. China's accession to the WTO, domestic enterprises will face third-party logistics strong competition from abroad, the domestic third-party logistics industry is difficult to provide low-cost, high quality and efficient service.

(C) subject to the constraints of traditional management systems. Fragmentation in the traditional institutional arrangements, third party logistics activities have been separated from many different sectors such as transportation, post and telecommunications, foreign trade, domestic trade and only involves the transport industry to the Ministry of Railways, Ministry of Communications, etc. Some departments, the lack of efficient collaboration between departments, resulting in the transport process of rotation of the mode of transport and time-consuming part of the cost of logistics in the process of becoming "trap. " There are also procedures for customs management, material procurement and other aspects of some of the provisions of the logistics enterprises also raise the level of integrated services and business development areas, thus restricting the rapid development of third-party logistics industry.

4 The third party logistics enterprise strategic choice Summarized the latest of several foreign logistics theory and the development of third-party logistics with the current practice of foreign, third-party logistics firm's strategic choice to have the following three:

(A)Lean Logistics Strategy

Since the lag theory and practice of logistics, our most extensive third-party logistics company or business, it can not accurately position their logistics services. If you do not

reverse this situation as soon as possible, will be third-party logistics industry in China have restricted role. Lean production theory of logistics for our third-party logistics company provides a new development ideas for these enterprises to survive in the new economy and development opportunities. Lean Logistics concept originated in lean manufacturing. It is produced from the Toyota Motor Corporation 70 years in the last century by the original "Toyota Production System", after research by the Massachusetts Institute of Technology professor and summary, was published in 1990 published "change the world of machines), a book. Lean thinking is the use of various modern management methods and means, based on the needs of society to fully play the role of people as a fundamental and effective allocation and rational use of corporate resources to maximize economic benefits for enterprises to seek a new Management philosophy. Lean Logistics Lean Thinking is the application in logistics management, logistics development must reflect. The so-called Lean Logistics means: the process by eliminating the production and supply of non-value added waste in order to reduce stocking time, improve customer satisfaction. The aim of Lean Logistics according to customer needs, providing customers with logistics services, while pursuing the provision of logistics services in the process to minimize waste and delay, the process of increasing value added logistics services. Lean logistics system is characterized by its high-quality, low cost, continuous improvement, driven by customer demand oriented logistics system. It requires establishing the customer first thought, on time, accurate and fast delivery of goods and information.

In short, Lean Logistics, as a new management ideas, bound to have a third-party logistics enterprises in China have far-reaching impact, it will change the appearance of the extensive third party logistics management concept, the formation of third party logistics Core competitiveness.

(B)the establishment of small and medium third party logistics value chain alliance

Third-party logistics enterprises of small and medium can not be independent because of their one-stop logistics services to provide full shortcomings, and because the small size of assets, services, not wide area so that small and medium enterprises in China's logistics third party logistics industry at a disadvantage. Therefore, third party logistics for small and

medium enterprises, starting from their own resources to construct their own core competence is the key. As small and medium enterprise features of a single third-party logistics and incomplete, so based on their respective core competencies based on the structure of the logistics business enterprise cooperation is an effective capacity to make up for deficiencies, constitutes a feasible way of competitive advantage of logistics. Value chain is the use of systems approach to investigate the interaction between business and the analysis of all activities and their access to the resources of competitive advantage. Value of the business activities fall into two categories: basic activities and support activities. Basic activities are involved in product creation and sale of the material transferred to the buyer and after-sales service activities. Basic activities of supporting activities is to assist the revenue by providing outsourcing, technology, human resources and a variety of functions to support each other. Theory to analyze the value chain study the value of third party logistics chain composition, can be found in auxiliary activities, third party logistics enterprise and general business is no different, the basic activities in the third-party logistics companies has its own characteristics. Third-party logistics enterprises there is generally no commodity production process, only the re-circulation process, does not account for major components of a wide range of third-party logistics companies and thus become the basic operating activities of storage, transport, packaging, distribution, customer service and marketing, etc. link. Various aspects of the basic work activities, due to their own limited resources and capacity, can not have every aspect of an advantage in that value chain in terms of some of the deficiencies, resulting in their overall logistics function not complete, lack of corresponding competitiveness and comparative advantage in some sectors of the value chain due to lack of overall effect should not play. Therefore, third party logistics industry, small and medium sized logistics enterprises within the Union, should be based on the value chain between complementary on the basis of cooperation, make full use of professional logistics companies and logistics functions of specialized logistics organization and coordination of agents Flexible complementary integrated logistics capabilities. Third-party logistics for small and medium enterprises, value chain should start with the advantage of links to explore and develop the core competitiveness of enterprises, through the reconstruction of the value chain to avoid weaknesses.

(C)Large third-party logistics enterprise virtualization of strategy

Rapid development in IT and the Internet era, companies can not fight alone singles, but must be in the competition and collaboration, in cooperation and development. Thus, under modern conditions resulting from modern large-scale virtualized development of third-party logistics has a strong necessity. Large third-party logistics enterprise virtualization is the logistics management resources of others who will have "all", through the network, the other part into its own logistics, with the help of others break the power of physical boundaries, extending to achieve their various Function, and thus expand their ability to enhance their strength. Therefore, the logistics information technology, virtualization is a means for the connection and coordination of temporary and dynamic alliance in the form of virtual logistics. Integrated logistics virtualization technology as a means of electronic communication, customer-focused, based on the opportunity to participate in members of the core competencies as a condition to an agreement for the common pursuit of goals and tasks, the different parts of the country's existing Resources to quickly mix into a no walls, beyond the space constraints, by means of electronic networks, contact the unified command of the virtual business entity, the fastest launch of high-quality, low-cost logistics service.

Modern large-scale virtualization, including third-party logistics functions, organization, geographic three virtualization. Virtualization capabilities with third-party logistics enterprise IT technology will be distributed in different locations, different companies take different functions within the logistics resources (information, human, material and other resources) organized to accomplish a specific task, to achieve the optimization of social resources. Virtualization refers to the organizational structure of the logistics organization is always dynamically adjusted, not fixed, but also decentralized, flexible, self-management, flat network structure, its objectives and in accordance with changes in the environment re-combination, in a timely manner Reflect the market dynamics. Virtual is the regional third party logistics network through the Internet link the global logistics resources, removing barriers and national barriers, to production management to achieve "virtual neighbors. "

毕业论文外文翻译模版

吉林化工学院理学院 毕业论文外文翻译English Title(Times New Roman ,三号) 学生学号:08810219 学生姓名:袁庚文 专业班级:信息与计算科学0802 指导教师:赵瑛 职称副教授 起止日期:2012.2.27~2012.3.14 吉林化工学院 Jilin Institute of Chemical Technology

1 外文翻译的基本内容 应选择与本课题密切相关的外文文献(学术期刊网上的),译成中文,与原文装订在一起并独立成册。在毕业答辩前,同论文一起上交。译文字数不应少于3000个汉字。 2 书写规范 2.1 外文翻译的正文格式 正文版心设置为:上边距:3.5厘米,下边距:2.5厘米,左边距:3.5厘米,右边距:2厘米,页眉:2.5厘米,页脚:2厘米。 中文部分正文选用模板中的样式所定义的“正文”,每段落首行缩进2字;或者手动设置成每段落首行缩进2字,字体:宋体,字号:小四,行距:多倍行距1.3,间距:前段、后段均为0行。 这部分工作模板中已经自动设置为缺省值。 2.2标题格式 特别注意:各级标题的具体形式可参照外文原文确定。 1.第一级标题(如:第1章绪论)选用模板中的样式所定义的“标题1”,居左;或者手动设置成字体:黑体,居左,字号:三号,1.5倍行距,段后11磅,段前为11磅。 2.第二级标题(如:1.2 摘要与关键词)选用模板中的样式所定义的“标题2”,居左;或者手动设置成字体:黑体,居左,字号:四号,1.5倍行距,段后为0,段前0.5行。 3.第三级标题(如:1.2.1 摘要)选用模板中的样式所定义的“标题3”,居左;或者手动设置成字体:黑体,居左,字号:小四,1.5倍行距,段后为0,段前0.5行。 标题和后面文字之间空一格(半角)。 3 图表及公式等的格式说明 图表、公式、参考文献等的格式详见《吉林化工学院本科学生毕业设计说明书(论文)撰写规范及标准模版》中相关的说明。

概率论毕业论文外文翻译

Statistical hypothesis testing Adriana Albu,Loredana Ungureanu Politehnica University Timisoara,adrianaa@aut.utt.ro Politehnica University Timisoara,loredanau@aut.utt.ro Abstract In this article,we present a Bayesian statistical hypothesis testing inspection, testing theory and the process Mentioned hypothesis testing in the real world and the importance of, and successful test of the Notes. Key words Bayesian hypothesis testing; Bayesian inference;Test of significance Introduction A statistical hypothesis test is a method of making decisions using data, whether from a controlled experiment or an observational study (not controlled). In statistics, a result is called statistically significant if it is unlikely to have occurred by chance alone, according to a pre-determined threshold probability, the significance level. The phrase "test of significance" was coined by Ronald Fisher: "Critical tests of this kind may be called tests of significance, and when such tests are available we may discover whether a second sample is or is not significantly different from the first."[1] Hypothesis testing is sometimes called confirmatory data analysis, in contrast to exploratory data analysis. In frequency probability,these decisions are almost always made using null-hypothesis tests. These are tests that answer the question Assuming that the null hypothesis is true, what is the probability of observing a value for the test statistic that is at [] least as extreme as the value that was actually observed?) 2 More formally, they represent answers to the question, posed before undertaking an experiment,of what outcomes of the experiment would lead to rejection of the null hypothesis for a pre-specified probability of an incorrect rejection. One use of hypothesis testing is deciding whether experimental results contain enough information to cast doubt on conventional wisdom. Statistical hypothesis testing is a key technique of frequentist statistical inference. The Bayesian approach to hypothesis testing is to base rejection of the hypothesis on the posterior probability.[3][4]Other approaches to reaching a decision based on data are available via decision theory and optimal decisions. The critical region of a hypothesis test is the set of all outcomes which cause the null hypothesis to be rejected in favor of the alternative hypothesis. The critical region is usually denoted by the letter C. One-sample tests are appropriate when a sample is being compared to the population from a hypothesis. The population characteristics are known from theory or are calculated from the population.

毕业论文 外文翻译#(精选.)

毕业论文(设计)外文翻译 题目:中国上市公司偏好股权融资:非制度性因素 系部名称:经济管理系专业班级:会计082班 学生姓名:任民学号: 200880444228 指导教师:冯银波教师职称:讲师 年月日

译文: 中国上市公司偏好股权融资:非制度性因素 国际商业管理杂志 2009.10 摘要:本文把重点集中于中国上市公司的融资活动,运用西方融资理论,从非制度性因素方面,如融资成本、企业资产类型和质量、盈利能力、行业因素、股权结构因素、财务管理水平和社会文化,分析了中国上市公司倾向于股权融资的原因,并得出结论,股权融资偏好是上市公司根据中国融资环境的一种合理的选择。最后,针对公司的股权融资偏好提出了一些简明的建议。 关键词:股权融资,非制度性因素,融资成本 一、前言 中国上市公司偏好于股权融资,根据中国证券报的数据显示,1997年上市公司在资本市场的融资金额为95.87亿美元,其中股票融资的比例是72.5%,,在1998年和1999年比例分别为72.6%和72.3%,另一方面,债券融资的比例分别是17.8%,24.9%和25.1%。在这三年,股票融资的比例,在比中国发达的资本市场中却在下跌。以美国为例,当美国企业需要的资金在资本市场上,于股权融资相比他们宁愿选择债券融资。统计数据显示,从1970年到1985年,美日企业债券融资占了境外融资的91.7%,比股权融资高很多。阎达五等发现,大约中国3/4的上市公司偏好于股权融资。许多研究的学者认为,上市公司按以下顺序进行外部融资:第一个是股票基金,第二个是可转换债券,三是短期债务,最后一个是长期负债。许多研究人员通常分析我国上市公司偏好股权是由于我们国家的经济改革所带来的制度性因素。他们认为,上市公司的融资活动违背了西方古典融资理论只是因为那些制度性原因。例如,优序融资理论认为,当企业需要资金时,他们首先应该转向内部资金(折旧和留存收益),然后再进行债权融资,最后的选择是股票融资。在这篇文章中,笔者认为,这是因为具体的金融环境激活了企业的这种偏好,并结合了非制度性因素和西方金融理论,尝试解释股权融资偏好的原因。

大学毕业论文---软件专业外文文献中英文翻译

软件专业毕业论文外文文献中英文翻译 Object landscapes and lifetimes Tech nically, OOP is just about abstract data typing, in herita nee, and polymorphism, but other issues can be at least as importa nt. The rema in der of this sect ion will cover these issues. One of the most importa nt factors is the way objects are created and destroyed. Where is the data for an object and how is the lifetime of the object con trolled? There are differe nt philosophies at work here. C++ takes the approach that con trol of efficie ncy is the most importa nt issue, so it gives the programmer a choice. For maximum run-time speed, the storage and lifetime can be determined while the program is being written, by placing the objects on the stack (these are sometimes called automatic or scoped variables) or in the static storage area. This places a priority on the speed of storage allocatio n and release, and con trol of these can be very valuable in some situati ons. However, you sacrifice flexibility because you must know the exact qua ntity, lifetime, and type of objects while you're writing the program. If you are trying to solve a more general problem such as computer-aided desig n, warehouse man ageme nt, or air-traffic con trol, this is too restrictive. The sec ond approach is to create objects dyn amically in a pool of memory called the heap. In this approach, you don't know un til run-time how many objects you n eed, what their lifetime is, or what their exact type is. Those are determined at the spur of the moment while the program is runnin g. If you n eed a new object, you simply make it on the heap at the point that you n eed it. Because the storage is man aged dyn amically, at run-time, the amount of time required to allocate storage on the heap is sig ni fica ntly Ion ger tha n the time to create storage on the stack. (Creat ing storage on the stack is ofte n a si ngle assembly in structio n to move the stack poin ter dow n, and ano ther to move it back up.) The dyn amic approach makes the gen erally logical assumpti on that objects tend to be complicated, so the extra overhead of finding storage and releas ing that storage will not have an importa nt impact on the creati on of an object .In additi on, the greater flexibility is esse ntial to solve the gen eral program ming problem. Java uses the sec ond approach, exclusive". Every time you want to create an object, you use the new keyword to build a dyn amic in sta nee of that object. There's ano ther issue, however, and that's the lifetime of an object. With Ian guages that allow objects to be created on the stack, the compiler determines how long the object lasts and can automatically destroy it. However, if you create it on the heap the compiler has no kno wledge of its lifetime. In a Ianguage like C++, you must determine programmatically when to destroy the

毕业论文外文翻译模板

农村社会养老保险的现状、问题与对策研究社会保障对国家安定和经济发展具有重要作用,“城乡二元经济”现象日益凸现,农村社会保障问题客观上成为社会保障体系中极为重要的部分。建立和完善农村社会保障制度关系到农村乃至整个社会的经济发展,并且对我国和谐社会的构建至关重要。我国农村社会保障制度尚不完善,因此有必要加强对农村独立社会保障制度的构建,尤其对农村养老制度的改革,建立健全我国社会保障体系。从户籍制度上看,我国居民养老问题可分为城市居民养老和农村居民养老两部分。对于城市居民我国政府已有比较充足的政策与资金投人,使他们在物质和精神方面都能得到较好地照顾,基本实现了社会化养老。而农村居民的养老问题却日益突出,成为摆在我国政府面前的一个紧迫而又棘手的问题。 一、我国农村社会养老保险的现状 关于农村养老,许多地区还没有建立农村社会养老体系,已建立的地区也存在很多缺陷,运行中出现了很多问题,所以完善农村社会养老保险体系的必要性与紧迫性日益体现出来。 (一)人口老龄化加快 随着城市化步伐的加快和农村劳动力的输出,越来越多的农村青壮年人口进入城市,年龄结构出现“两头大,中间小”的局面。中国农村进入老龄社会的步伐日渐加快。第五次人口普查显示:中国65岁以上的人中农村为5938万,占老龄总人口的67.4%.在这种严峻的现实面前,农村社会养老保险的徘徊显得极其不协调。 (二)农村社会养老保险覆盖面太小 中国拥有世界上数量最多的老年人口,且大多在农村。据统计,未纳入社会保障的农村人口还很多,截止2000年底,全国7400多万农村居民参加了保险,占全部农村居民的11.18%,占成年农村居民的11.59%.另外,据国家统计局统计,我国进城务工者已从改革开放之初的不到200万人增加到2003年的1.14亿人。而基本方案中没有体现出对留在农村的农民和进城务工的农民给予区别对待。进城务工的农民既没被纳入到农村养老保险体系中,也没被纳入到城市养老保险体系中,处于法律保护的空白地带。所以很有必要考虑这个特殊群体的养老保险问题。

电子信息工程专业毕业论文外文翻译中英文对照翻译

本科毕业设计(论文)中英文对照翻译 院(系部)电气工程与自动化 专业名称电子信息工程 年级班级 04级7班 学生姓名 指导老师

Infrared Remote Control System Abstract Red outside data correspondence the technique be currently within the scope of world drive extensive usage of a kind of wireless conjunction technique,drive numerous hardware and software platform support. Red outside the transceiver product have cost low, small scaled turn, the baud rate be quick, point to point SSL, be free from electromagnetism thousand Raos etc.characteristics, can realization information at dissimilarity of the product fast, convenience, safely exchange and transmission, at short distance wireless deliver aspect to own very obvious of advantage.Along with red outside the data deliver a technique more and more mature, the cost descend, red outside the transceiver necessarily will get at the short distance communication realm more extensive of application. The purpose that design this system is transmit cu stomer’s operation information with infrared rays for transmit media, then demodulate original signal with receive circuit. It use coding chip to modulate signal and use decoding chip to demodulate signal. The coding chip is PT2262 and decoding chip is PT2272. Both chips are made in Taiwan. Main work principle is that we provide to input the information for the PT2262 with coding keyboard. The input information was coded by PT2262 and loading to high frequent load wave whose frequent is 38 kHz, then modulate infrared transmit dioxide and radiate space outside when it attian enough power. The receive circuit receive the signal and demodulate original information. The original signal was decoded by PT2272, so as to drive some circuit to accomplish

毕业论文外文资料翻译

毕业论文外文资料翻译题目(宋体三号,居中) 学院(全称,宋体三号,居中) 专业(全称,宋体三号,居中) 班级(宋体三号,居中) 学生(宋体三号,居中) 学号(宋体三号,居中) 指导教师(宋体三号,居中) 二〇一〇年月日(宋体三号,居中,时间与开题时间一致)

(英文原文装订在前)

Journal of American Chemical Society, 2006, 128(7): 2421-2425. (文献翻译必须在中文译文第一页标明文献出处:即文章是何期刊上发表的,X年X 卷X期,格式如上例所示,四号,右对齐,杂志名加粗。) [点击输入译文题目-标题1,黑体小二] [点击输入作者,宋体小四] [点击输入作者单位,宋体五号] 摘要[点击输入,宋体五号] 关键词[点击输入,宋体五号] 1[点击输入一级标题-标题2,黑体四号] [点击输入正文,宋体小四号,1.25倍行距] 1.1[点击输入二级标题-标题3,黑体小四] [点击输入正文,宋体小四,1.25倍行距] 1.1.1[点击输入三级标题-标题4,黑体小四] [点击输入正文,宋体小四,1.25倍行距] 说明: 1.外文文章必须是正规期刊发表的。 2.翻译后的中文文章必须达到2000字以上,并且是一篇完整文章。 3.必须要有外文翻译的封面,使用学校统一的封面; 封面上的翻译题目要写翻译过来的中文题目; 封面上时间与开题时间一致。 4.外文原文在前,中文翻译在后; 5.中文翻译中要包含题目、摘要、关键词、前言、全文以及参考文献,翻译要条理

清晰,中文翻译要与英文一一对应。 6.翻译中的中文文章字体为小四,所有字母、数字均为英文格式下的,中文为宋体, 标准字符间距。 7.原文中的图片和表格可以直接剪切、粘贴,但是表头与图示必须翻译成中文。 8.图表必须居中,文章段落应两端对齐、首行缩进2个汉字字符、1.25倍行距。 例如: 图1. 蛋白质样品的PCA图谱与8-卟啉识别排列分析(a)或16-卟啉识别排列分析(b)。为了得到b 的 数据矩阵,样品用16-卟啉识别排列分析来检测,而a 是通过捕获首八卟啉接收器数据矩阵从 b 中 萃取的。

电气专业毕业论文外文翻译分析解析

本科毕业设计 外文文献及译文 文献、资料题目:Designing Stable Control Loops 文献、资料来源:期刊 文献、资料发表(出版)日期:2010.3.25 院(部):信息与电气工程学院 专班姓学业:电气工程与自动化级: 名: 号: 指导教师:翻译日期:2011.3.10

外文文献: Designing Stable Control Loops The objective of this topic is to provide the designer with a practical review of loop compensation techniques applied to switching power supply feedback control. A top-down system approach is taken starting with basic feedback control concepts and leading to step-by-step design procedures,initially applied to a simple buck regulator and then expanded to other topologies and control algorithms. Sample designs are demonstrated with Math cad simulations to illustrate gain and phase margins and their impact on performance analysis. I. I NTRODUCTION Insuring stability of a proposed power supply solution is often one of the more challenging aspects of the design process. Nothing is more disconcerting than to have your lovingly crafted breadboard break into wild oscillations just as its being demonstrated to the boss or customer, but insuring against this unfortunate event takes some analysis which many designers view as formidable. Paths taken by design engineers often emphasize either cut-and-try empirical testing in the laboratory or computer simulations looking for numerical solutions based on complex mathematical models.While both of these approach a basic understanding of feedback theory will usually allow the definition of an acceptable compensation network with a minimum of computational effort. II. S TABILITY D EFINED Fig. 1.Definition of stability Fig. 1 gives a quick illustration of at least one definition of stability. In its simplest terms, a system is stable if, when subjected to a perturbation from some source, its response to that

毕业论文外文翻译(中英文)

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————————————————————————————————作者:————————————————————————————————日期: 1

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