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外文翻译(日产5000吨新型干法水泥生产线生料车间工艺设计)

外文翻译(日产5000吨新型干法水泥生产线生料车间工艺设计)
外文翻译(日产5000吨新型干法水泥生产线生料车间工艺设计)

浙江工业大学教科学院

毕业设计外文资料翻译

设计题目:日产5000吨新型干法水泥生产

线生料车间工艺设计

学生姓名:

学号:200621600111

专业:建筑材料与工程

外文出处:《中国水泥》2003年第9期指导教师:李振明

2009年2月25 日

Thoughts on the Current Cement Industry Development According to the analysis of cement capacity and its relations with macro economy running index, the main reasons for the present rapid development of cement capacity the rapid development of economy and the shot up of whole society fixed asset investment.According to the present speed of economy development, cement still enjoys a potential increased, So here has not been all overall excessive popularity of cement industry.The best way to prevent low level repeated construction is top remote the development of new dry—process cement as well as try to get rid of blindness.

During the ninth “five—year plan” period,Chinese cement output increased from 475.61 million ton of the year 1995 to 597 million of the year 2000,with a average yearly increase of 25 million ton and a yearly increase rate 4.5%.During the tenth“ five—year plan” period, the government keeps adopting the policy of promoting domestic demand,the national economy keeps a constant rapid healthy development and cement output increases rapidly. In 2001,the whole country’s cement output reached 661.04 million ton with an increase rate of 10.7% compared to that of the year 2000.In 2002,it reached to 0.725 billion ton with a net increase volume of 64 million ton and an increase rate of 9.2% compared to that of the year 2001.From January to July of this year,cement production keeps a strong increase trend and increased 15.6% compared with the same time last year.Is cement industry at a normal increase speed? Is cement industry development over popular? These have become the focus for all aspects.

1. Market demand is the sole criterion of the reasonable increase speed of cement capacity

The nature of cement decides its usual duration of three months. As a result, cement consumption and its output have a good accordance with little import.In recent years,the production—sales rate of cement keeps around 94%一97%.

As an investment production, cement has a main consumption market in industry, construction industry,housing,roads building,basic establishment construction and some building materials such as cement products.The criterion to decide whether cement industry development is over popular is to see whether the development of its capacity meets its consumption or in other words,meets its market demand.

Historical data shows that the increase speed and structure of GDP and whole society fixed asset investment and the living conditions of people decide the development speed of many industries such as construction industry and real estate industry. The changes of cement consumption have close relations with the changes of these factors.

1.1 Cement consumption volume and GDP increase

In recent years,the development of Chinese national economy has come into a rapid increase period and GDP enjoys an obvious speed up development.During this period,Chinese cement consumption enjoys a cycle fluctuation accordingly.

Cement consumption increases and decreases by a certain margin with the rapid increase and decrease of GDP.but with an obvious delay.However,when GDP changes steadily with an increase a rate of about 10%,the changes of cement consumption do not have obvious relations with the changes of the increase rate of GDP. The changes of cement consumption are related not only to the increase of GDP but also to the structure of economy development.

1.2 Cement consumption volume and the increase of fixed asset investment From the ninth“ five—year p1an",Chinese who1e society fixed asset investment has increased rapidly.During the ninth“ five—year plan” period,fixed asset investment enjoyed a yearly increase rate of

10.46%.After the entry to the tenth“ five—year plan” period, it has an average increase rate of 14.56%.The yearly gross investment volume was 2780 billion Yuan during the ninth“ five—year plan” period while

it reached to 4020 billion Yuan in the year 2002 with a yearly increase volume of 1240 billon Yuan and an increase rate of 24.6%.

Data show that the increase of cement consumption results mainly from the drive from fixed asset investment.The increase of cement consumption an d that of fixed asset investment have close relations. That is,cement consumption has a definite increase according to the increase of fixed asset investment and the increase margin is regulated by market.

1.3 Cement consumption volume and the development speed of secondary industry

After the analysis of the structure of fixed asset investment,we can find that secondary industry (including industry,construction industry,cement products and so on)is the main content of fixed asset investment and main force of cement consumption.

The increase volume of cement consumption obviously changes with the changes of secondary industry increase speed,which fully indicates secondary industry’s promotion on gross cement consumption.

1.4 Construction industry investment and gross cement consumption volume Construction industry is the main market for cement consumption. Gross cement consumption volume increases together with the increase of gross construction industry product, or the increase of construction industry investment.

1.5 The relations between real estate industry investment and gross cement consumption

Real estate industry is a new industry that has risen suddenly in recent years and appears a powerful development trend. In the first two years of the tenth“five- year plan”period,the average increase rate of real estate investment reached 24.6%.The real estate investment nearly four timed that of the ninth“ five—year plan” period and increased by

6.4%.In the year 2002.real estate investment reached 773.6 billion Yuan.which increased by 84.2% compared to the yearly investment of 382

billion Yuan in the ninth“ five—year plan” period. The real estate industry investment has strongly driven the increase of gross cement consumption volume.

The data indicate that real estate investment and cement consumption increase volume are closely linked to each other. In recent years, the increase of real estate investment has been one of the main drives of the increase of gross cement consumption volume.

1.6 As a investment product, cement especially is closely linked to the income of citizens in a well-of society.

Cement consumption index is closely linked to the citizen income increase.Especially, the index changes with the changes of citizen consume structure.That is,the larger the housing investment proportion of the citizen income,the more citizen income index impacts cement consumption.The relations between the increases of gross cement consumption volume and of citizen income index reflect a good market allocation of cement resources.

The data in the above figure and tables indicate as follows:

(1)What mainly impact the gross cement consumption volume is the development speed of whole society fixed asset investment, construction industry investment and gross real estate industry investment volume,which is the comprehensive reflection of market allocation of cement resources.In recent years,the rapid development of cement productivity is the natural result of rapid increase of whole society fixed asset investment volume,especially the result great increase of basic establishment, secondary industry, construction industry and real estate industry.

(2)The increase of gross cement consumption volume has close relations with people, especially citizen income index increase. The increase of citizen income drives the gross consumption of cement.

(3)According to the analysis of the change regulation of investment,

consumption and gross cement consumption in the latest twelve years economy development, the temporary cement capacity development speed keeps a coordinate relationship with this co untry’s economy development spe ed an d gross market demand for cement. Especially,there has not been any non—coordination in its relations with fixed asset investment,construction industry,real estate investment increase margin and the development speed of secondary industry.The increase speed of cement production is norma1. It is normal that in a short period there can be a small fluctuation between cement capacity and price. This is the reflection of market allocation of resources and its final result is to adjust cement capacity and price better to the requirement of market.

思考当前水泥工业发展

据分析,水泥能力以及它与宏观经济运行指数,主要原因是目前快速发展的水泥能力的迅速发展,经济和上升的全社会固定资产投资。按照目前的速度,经济发展,水泥仍然享有一个潜在的增长,因此在这里,过多的水泥工业没有得到全面普及。防止低水平重复建设的最佳途径是最大程度地发展新型干法水泥以及努力摆脱这方面的黑暗。

在第九个“五年计划”期间,我国水泥产量从1995年的47561.00万吨至2000年的59700.00万顿,以平均每年增加2500万吨的速度,每年增长4.5 %。在第十个“五年计划”期间,政府继续采取政策,促进国内需求,保持国民经济持续快速健康发展,水泥产量迅速增加。2001年,全国水泥产量达到66104.00万吨,与2000年相比增加率为10.7 %。2002年,达到7.25亿吨,净增量64万吨,和2001年相比增长速度为9.2 %。从今年1月至7月,水泥生产保持了强劲的增长趋势,与去年同期相比增加了15.6 %。水泥行业是在一个正常的增长速度?是水泥工业发展的受欢迎?这些已经成为所有方面关注的问题。

1. 市场需求的唯一标准是水泥能力的合理增长速度

水泥的性质决定其持续时间通常为3个月。因此,水泥消费量和产量有很好的根据是小进口。近年来,水泥生产和销售率保持在94%-97%。作为一个投资产品,水泥的主要消费市场在工业、建筑工业、住房、道路建设、基础设施建设和一些

建筑材料,如水泥产品。

作为一个投资产品,水泥的主要消费市场在工业,建筑工业,住房,道路建设,基础设施建设和一些建筑材料,如水泥产物的标准来决定是否是水泥工业发展的受欢迎程度,看是否发展其能力满足其消费或者换句话说,满足市场需求。

历史数据表明,增长速度和结构,国内生产总值和全社会固定资产投资和人民的生活条件决定的发展速度,许多行业,如建筑业和房地产业。陈氏水电站的水泥消费有密切的关系改变这些因素。

1.1水泥消费量和国内生产总值增加失明

在最近几年的发展,我国国民经济已进入快速增长时期,国内生产总值有着明显加快.在此期间,我国水泥消费享有周期波动。水泥消费量增加和减少的有一定程度的迅速增加和减少的国内生产总值。但明显带有延迟. 然而,国内生产总值变化稳步增加,增长率约为10 %,水泥消费的变化没有明显关系的变化,国内生产总值的增长速度。变化水泥消费不仅涉及国内生产总值的增加,而且对经济结构的发展。

1.2水泥消费量和增加固定资产投资

第九个“五年计划”,中国的整个社会固定资产投资迅速增加。在第九个“五年计划”期间,固定资产投资每年增加享有率10.46 %。后进入第十个“五年计划”期间,它的平均增长率14.56 %。年度总投资量27800.0亿元在第九个“五年计划”期间虽然达到40200.0亿人民币, 2002年,以每年增加量1240年亿元,增加率为24.6 %。

数据表明,水泥消费量增加主要是由于硬盘固定资产投资。增加水泥消费和固定资产投资有着密切的关系。也就是说,水泥消费量增加有一定的根据是增加固定资产投资和增加利润受市场。

1.3水泥消费量和发展速度,第二产业

在结构分析固定资产投资,我们可以发现,第二产业(包括工业,建筑工业,水泥制品等)是主要内容的固定资产投资和主要力量的水泥消费。

增加水泥消费量的明显变化,充分表明第二产业的促进水泥消费总值。

1.4建筑行业的投资和消费量总值水泥

建筑业的主要市场水泥消费.清单的变化,建筑行业的投资增加,水泥消费量增加。总消费量的增加水泥一起增加总值的建造业的产品,或增加了建筑行业的投资。

1.5之间的关系房地产业投资和消费总值水泥

房地产行业是一个新的行业已上升突然近年来出现了强大的发展趋势。在头两年内,第十届“五年计划”期间,平均增长速度的房地产投资达到24.6 %。在房地产投资近四年时间,在第九届“五年计划”期间增加了6.4 %。去年2002,实际房地产投资达到7736.00亿元. 增加了84.2 %相比,每年投资382亿元,第九届“五年计划”时期。房地产行业投资的大力推动增加总值的水泥消费量。

数据表明,房地产投资,水泥消费量增加有密切的相互关联。近年来,增加了房地产投资一直是主要的驱动器增加总值的水泥消费量。

1.6作为一个投资产品,水泥尤其是密切相关的收入的公民,在一个很好的社会。水泥消费指数与公民收入增加是密切相关的。特别是,该指数的变化,市民消费结构。也就是说,大的住房投资比例的公民的收入,更多的公民收入指数的影响水泥消费。水泥的增加总值消费量和公民收入指数之间关系反映了良好的市场配置水泥资源。

上述数字和数据说明如下:

( 1 )什么影响主要水泥消费量的发展速度的全社会固定资产投资,建筑业投资和房地产行业总投资额,这是全面反映了市场配置水泥资源. 近年来,快速发展的水泥生产力的自然结果迅速增加,全社会固定资产投资额,尤其是大量增加的结果基本建立,第二产业,建筑业和房地产业。

( 2 )增加总值的水泥消费量有着密切关系的人,特别是公民的收入指数增加。增加公民收入驱动器的总消费量的水泥。

( 3 )根据分析变化规律的投资,消费和水泥消费总值的最新十二年经济发展的情况下,临时水泥能力的发展速度保持了协调关系,临时水泥能力的发展速度保持了协调关系,这个国家的经济发展速度和总市场的水泥需求。特别是,没有任何非协调关系,固定资产投资,建筑业,房地产投资增长幅度和发展速度的二次工业革命. 提高水泥生产的速度是正常的。这在短期内就不可能有一个小水泥能力之间波动和价格是正常的。这是反映了市场配置资源,其最终结果是调整水泥能力和价格的要求,更好的市场。

2 The Analysis of Current Cement Industry

2.1 Uprising overall situation of current cement industry

Current cement industry realizes co-increase of production and benefit,and has entered its uprising track.Since its reversing from lose to benefit,the enterprises’ benefit has been rebounding.Cement enterprises gained 500 million Yuan in 2000; 3.05 billion Yuan in 200l:4.65 billion Yuan in 2002. In cement market.Cement enterprises keep high production—sales rate:99.4% in 2001,101% in 2002.It is also delighted that large sized enterprises has realized profit of 2.79 billion Yuan,covering 91% of the overall sector’s profit in 2001,and their profit reached 3.84 billion Yuan.covering 82.6% of the total profit of this sector.

Those statistics show that current cement market realizes its function of assigning cement resources in accordance to the supply—demand development,and keeps the stability of cement market price.Since 1993 cement price has been fluctuating,but overall cement industry has realized its reverse from lose to benefit, production—sales rate has kept over 98% ,and the whole sector maintains robust growth.The main reason of this situation is that the cost reduction brought about by the technology growth,for example,new dry process cement’s unit production has been reduced by 50%.

2.2 The improved technology of new dry process cement equipment optimizes the cement sector’s structu re

Since China enters its Fifth—Ten Year Project phase,new dry process cement technology has sped up,and the cement industry structure has optimized. New dry process cement production covers 10% to 15% of the total cement production. It is even more delighted that new dry process cement equipment and craftsmanship have improved.Also, it has basically realized that large—sized equipment can be produced in China, which proves the competitiveness of China’s cement industry.Production investment of per ton clinker has been reduced from 800-1200 Yuan to 200-300 Yuan,which

can possess the capability to compete with shaft kiln investment.The cost of clinker in a great number of large-sized enterprises can be lower than that of the shaft kiln cement.

The development of new dry process cement is favored by government support, market demand,diversified investment,and enterprise independence.

2.3 Competitive shaft kiln enterprises begin to

transform into new dry process

Currently,a large scale of enterprises of shaft kiln enterprise has transformed to develop new dry process.In 2002,51 production lines have been taken into operation in China,among which 27 are transformed from shaft kiln enterprises.It’s prove that cement industry’s limitation and restructure embraced market principle.

2.4 The average production scale of cement enterprises is enlarged.The total sum of domestic cement enterprises has reduced from more than 8000 to 4700 plus.

The average production scale of cement industry has reached to 200 thousand tons from 60 thousand tons.Meanwhile,the number of large—sized enterprises in China has been increased.The total production of 9 cement groups supported by the National Tenth-Five Year

Project was 32.6 million tons.covering 4.7% of national total production.In 2002,the total annual production of those 9 cement groups exceeded 62 million, covering 7.5% of the total domestic production capacity and 50% of national new dry process production capacity.All in all,China’s cement industry enjoys healthy development,and the development of new dry process cement is brought about by the restructure of cement industry,and market—driven investment. No sign of overheated competition exists in China.

3 The Trend and Risk of Cement Industry

3.1 The development space Of China cement industry

The report of 16th Session of China’s Communist Party pointed out that China will keep 7% GDP growth by 2020. Currently,investment is the main factor of economic growth an d cement increase. It is concluded,by 2005,domestic cement consumption volume will keep steady growth.Experts predict that if fixed asset investment maintains 10%~12%growth in the last three years of the Tenth-Five Year Program Period,domestic cement consumption will increase 30~46 million tons, annual increase speed will keep 4.2%~6.3%,as well,domestic consumption is expected to increase 53~69 million tons with annual increase of 7.2%~9%.

3.2 New dry process cement is the most effective method to solve the problem of restructuring the cement industry

Current cement production capacity develops harmoniously with the total demand of consumption market.With the development of China’s economic development, cement sector has great potentia1.This means that shaft kiln,the backward processing method,still has certain market space.That’s why shaft kiln keeps its annual 30 million tons production.New dry process cement is characterized by its matured technology,spared investment,lower cost,less energy—consumption, higher quality and benefits and so on. So to say, new dry process cement has great developing capacity.

So to conclude,the best way to satisfy market demand,adjust sector structure and develop China’s cement industry is to seize the opportunity of supporting the development of new process cement. It will not cause overheated investment,but will curb the backward technology, speed up the adjustment of cement sector, as well as reduce energy consumption an d improve environment protection. Otherwise,China will lose the opportunity in the new cycle of cement industry’s restructure.

3.3 The Risk Analysis of New Dry Process Cement

(1)Investment risk

Here follows investment source analysis of the 51 lines of new dry process cement in Q002.and 132 lines of new dry process established and to be established.

An amount of 9.22 billion Yuan was invested in building 51 production lines in 2002,which were capable of producing 35.9 million tons of cement.The project is competitive,considering its low level of investment marked by 255 Yuan per ton.

An analysis of the capital source shows that among the expenses of the projects completed,43.23% (3.98 billion Yuan)was from bank loans,36.23%(3.39 billion Yuan)from capital raised by the enterprises and 15.4% (1420 million Yuan)from overseas investment.Funds other than bank loans constitute 56.77% 0f the total, among which 53% (27 programs)of the total programs were from private and foreign enterprises. Funds raised by enterprises are the main component of the construction capital,as shown in the fact that 70%~95% of the total funds were raised by the enterprises themselves.Among the programs scheduled to start from 2002 to 2004,52.76% will be funded by bank loans and 41.8% by

enterprise-raised capita1.63.94%of the cement programs of state-owned and state stock-holding enterprises will be funded by bank loans,to which attention must be paid because the capital would be at risk of incompetent project.

To sum up,considering the financial risks borne by the state,to develop the new dry process cement is not quite a venture.

(2)Resources risk

China is abundant in limestone deposits.The limestone reserves as a whole can meet the needs of the current production and future development of our country.But the situation of some cement projects under construction shows that certain enterprises are blind in their construction.Some enterprises started programs recklessly despite the fact that there is little limestone deposits around.Little importance was attached to mine resources by some

shaft kiln enterprises which planned to build large-scale new dry process cement production lines and some private cement enterprises. Production lines were built before capital was invested to prove up deposits and build the transportation system. Such backward construction method is bound to cause severe waste of capital and resources and will also cripple the steady production of the enterprises.To summarize,efforts must be paid to guide and regulate the conduct of the enterprises,otherwise risks of the resources will loom because of their blind exploitation an d utilization.(3)Environment risk

Impact on the environment must be attached great importance to in the planning of new dry process cement projects.Environment will be polluted and scenery will be damaged if cement factories are built near famous scenic spots and big cities.Severe economic loss will be caused if large—scale cement projects are terminated or moved.Some cement projects funded by private enterprises were built without strict examination and approval,resulting in the fact that some factories were built near famous scenic spots,causing great environmental risks.

To conclude, blind exploitation and construction is the major problem in the current development of China’s cement industry, which is proved by the fact that some local governments and enterprises started programs(some were very backward)blindly without consideration of the conditions of the market, technique, resources, capital,production scale, environment and their own competitive ability.Once market demand varies.these enterprises will face the problem of difficult operation because of the incompetence of their projects.Such cases will result in waste of capital an d resources, environmental pollution,and even the increase of bad loans in the banks,thus destabilizing the market. Although causes of these blind and low-level construction of repeated projects differ,great attention must be paid and importance must be attached to the problem.These problems must not be solved simplistically an d

abruptly. but through economic and legal means and with the assistance of the local governments after thorough and comprehensive analysis.

4 Essentials of Current Macroeconomic Control

4.1 Strengthen the guide of the industrial policy

Industrial an d social investment to the cement industry must be guided appropriately with efforts paid to accelerate the establishing an d publicizing of the trade program, through revising and improving conditions of market access and technical standard and timely publicizing of the investment information

4.2 Accelerate the development of new dry process cement

Development of the new dry process cement must be accelerated. Any construction program that complies with the state industrial policy an d requirement of the economic scale should be encouraged ,provided it is adequate in resources ,qualified in environmental protection requirement ,with confined investor ,guaranteed capital and the conditions to the build factory satisfied .examination and approval procedure of the project must be simplified and filed in document .for the project financed by the state and must be examined and approved by the government ,it is advised to only carry our the examination and approval of its project feasibility report.

2现行水泥工业的分析

2.1当前水泥工业的全面发展局势

当前水泥工业共同实现并提高生产和效益,并已进入了起义的轨道。自从它的变化由失去到受益,企业的效益已反弹。在2000年,水泥企业获得5亿元;2001年是30.5亿元;2002年是46.5亿元。在水泥市场.水泥企业保持较高的生产销售率:在2001为99.4 %,2002年达到101 %。另外值得高兴的是,大型企业实现利润2.79亿元,在2001年覆盖总体部门的利润的91%,其利润达到38.4亿元,覆盖了这一部门总利润的82.6 %。

这些统计数字表明,目前的水泥市场要实现其职能,分配水泥资源应按照供

需发展,保持水泥市场价格的稳定。自1993年以来,水泥价格一直起伏不定,但总体水泥工业已实现了从失去到受益的扭转,生产、销售率一直保持在98 %以上,整个行业保持强劲的增长势头。这种情况的主要的原因是,降低成本所带来的技术发展,例如,新型干法水泥的单位生产成本已减少了50 %。

2.2技术改进的新型干法水泥设备,优化了水泥行业的结构

由于我国进入了第五个年度项目阶段,新型干法水泥技术已经加快,水泥行业的结构已经得到优化。新型干法水泥生产覆盖了水泥生产总量的10%至15%。更值得高兴的是,新型干法水泥设备和工艺已经得到了改进。此外,人们已经基本认识到,大型设备在我国就可以生产,这证明我国水泥工业的竞争力。生产投资每吨熟料已从800-1200元减至200-300元,这便于维持企业能力与立窑投资。熟料的成本在很多大型企业可低于立窑水泥。

发展新型干法水泥是深受政府支持、市场需求、多元化的投资,也可体现企业的独立性。

2.3竞争立窑企业开始转化成新的干法

目前,大型企业的机立窑企业改造版已经开发新的干燥过程。在2002年,51个生产线已经实行到行动中,其中27个是机立窑企业。这证明,水泥工业的限制和调整拥抱市场的原则。

2.4水泥企业的平均生产规模正在扩大

国内水泥企业总和已从8000多减少到4700家。水泥行业的平均生产规模已经从60万吨达到200万吨。与此同时,一些大型企业的在华生产总量已经增加,有9家水泥集团的生产总量得到《国家环境保护“十五”计划》的支持。

项目在3260万吨,占全国生产总量的4.7 %。2002年,这些水泥集团每年的总生产超过6200万美元,包括7.5 %的国内总生产能力和50 %的国家新型干法生产能力。总之,我国水泥工业得到健康发展,发展新型干法水泥所带来的水泥工业结构调整,并以市场为导向的投资。可是没有迹象表明在国内存在着过热的竞争。

3水泥工业的发展趋势和风险

3.1我国水泥工业的发展空间

第16届会议中国共产党在报告指出,到2020年,我国将保持7%的国内生产总值的增长。目前,投资是经济增长和水泥增加的主要因素。这就是说,到2005

年,国内水泥消费量将继续稳步增长。

专家预测,如果固定资产投资在过去三年的十五计划期间保持10%?12%的增长,国内水泥消费量将增加30?46万吨,年均增长速度将保持4.2%?6.3 %,同时,国内消费预计将增加53?69万吨,年均增长7.2%?9 %。

3.2新型干法水泥是解决调整水泥工业结构带来的问题最有效的方法

目前的水泥生产能力的发展与消费总需求的市场保持和谐。随着我国经济发展,水泥行业具有很大的潜力。这意味着,立窑这种落后的处理方法,仍然有一定的市场空间。这就是为什么立窑保持其年度3000万吨的生产量。新型干法水泥的特点是其成熟的技术,不惜投资,降低成本,减少能源消耗,更高的质量和效益等。

新型干法水泥的特点是其成熟的技术,不惜投资,降低成本,减少能源消耗,追求更高的质量和效益等。所以说,新型干法水泥有很大的发展能力。

所以可以说,最好的方式是抓住机遇,以满足市场需求,调整行业结构和发展我国水泥工业,支持发展新的水泥进程。它不会导致投资过热,但将限制技术落后,加快调整水泥行业,以及减少能源消耗和改善对于环境的保护,否则,中国将失去在新一轮水泥工业结构调整中的机会。

3.3分析新型干法水泥的风险

( 1 )投资风险

这里投资来源分析如下, 51线的新型干法水泥Q002,以及设立的132线新型干法并将要建立。

投资数额92.2亿元于2002年建设51条生产线,这能够产生3590万吨水泥。考虑到其投资水平低的特点该项目的竞争力为255元每吨。分析表明,资金来源之间的开支项目完成后,43.23%(3.98亿元人民币)是从银行贷款, 36.23 %(3.39亿元人民币)的资本由企业提供和15.4%(1420万元)由海外投资。基金以外的其他银行贷款是总额的56.77 %,其中53 %(27个项目)的总计划是由私人和外国企业提供。企业筹集的资金是建设资金的主要组成部分,事实上,资金总额的70 %? 95 %由企业自身提出。在项目计划中,从2002年2004年,52.76 %的经费将通过银行贷款,41.8 %的资金企业提出。63.94 %的国有及国有股份制企业的水泥项目的资金将通过银行贷款,对此必须注意,因为不称职的项目的资本也将处于危险之中。

总之,考虑到金融风险由国家承担,发展新型干法水泥并无风险。

( 2 )资源的风险

我国拥有丰富的石灰石矿藏。我们的国家的石灰石储量整体能满足当前生产和未来的发展。但是,有些水泥项目的建设情况表明,某些企业是盲目开始计划建设的企业,还有一些企业鲁莽开始计划,尽管事实上附近很少有石灰石矿。小有重视矿产资源的一些立窑企业计划建设大型新型干法水泥生产线及部分私营水泥企业。生产线建成之前的资本投资是探明存款和建设交通运输系统。这种落后的施工方法必然造成严重的资金和资源浪费,也将破坏生产企业的稳定。总之,必须付出努力,以指导和规范企业的行为,否则资源的风险将出现,因为他们的盲目开采和利用。

( 3 )环境风险

在规划的新型干法水泥项目时,对环境的影响必须高度重视。如果水泥厂建在风景点和大城市附近,环境将被污染,景观将被破坏。如果大规模的水泥项目为此终止或转移,将造成严重的经济损失。一些民营企业所资助的水泥项目建立没有经过严格的审批,造成的事实是,某些工厂建立在名的风景名胜区附近,造成重大环境风险。

总之,盲目的开发与建设的主要问题是在我国水泥工业目前的发展,这证明了一个事实,即一些地方政府和企业盲目开始计划(一些非常落后)而不考虑条件、市场、技术、资源、资本、生产规模,环境和自己的竞争能力。一旦市场需求不同,这些企业将面临行动困难的问题,因为他们对项目的无能。这样的情况下会导致资本和资源的浪费,污染环境,甚至增加了不良的银行贷款,从而破坏市场。虽然造成这些盲目和低水平重复建设项目的原因不同,但必须十分地注意,必须重视这一问题。这些问题不能得到简单和快速的解决,而是在通过经济手段和法律手段,并协助当地政府后,进行彻底和全面的分析。

4当前宏观调控的要点

4.1加强产业政策的指导

工业和社会对水泥工业的投资必须遵循适当付出的原则,以加速建立和宣传贸易程序,通过修订和完善市场进入条件和技术标准,并及时公布投资信息。

4.2加快发展新型干法水泥

必须加快发展新型干法水泥,任何符合国家产业政策和要求的经济规模的建

设项目应该得到鼓励,为他们提供足够的资源,合格的环保要求,而对于于投资者,必须保证资金和条件来建立满意工厂。审查和审批项目的程序和提交的文件必须简化,其项目的经费由国家提供的,政府必须审议和批准,这只是向我们审批其项目可行性研究报告。

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